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Cicero-North Syracuse Northstars (14-5)

Conference: OSHLN1

Region: NY A Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Bill Aldrich

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	MCQUAID JESUIT (13-8)	NY B Sec 5	90.9		W	16-	6		0.050
4/03	CORNING EAST (19-4)	NY C Sec 4	98.4		L	8-	12		-0.250
4/05	at Auburn (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	92.9		W	12-	8		0.175
4/10	at Baldwinsville (16-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.5	5	L	5-	12		-0.175
4/12	WEST GENESEE (22-1)	NY A Sec 3	99.7	1	L	8-	14		-0.100
4/14	at Liverpool (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	93.7		W	12-	10		0.175
4/17	HENNINGER (5-13)	NY A Sec 3	89.4		W	14-	3		0.000
4/19	at Central Square (6-12)	NY A Sec 3	89.8		W	17-	11		0.100
4/24	GENEVA (18-5)	NY B Sec 5	97.6		W	12-	7		0.225
4/28	AUBURN (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	92.9		W	14-	7		0.100
5/01	BALDWINSVILLE (16-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.5	5	W	14-	7		0.250
5/03	FAYETTEVILLE-MANLIUS (14-5)	NY A Sec 3	96.4	9	W	13-	12		0.175
5/08	at Corcoran (4-14)	NY A Sec 3	87.2		W	16-	7		0.000
5/09	at Oswego (12-7)	NY A Sec 3	95.1		W	11-	8		0.225
5/11	NOTTINGHAM (2-17)	NY B Sec 3	87.4		W	17-	7		0.000
5/15	at West Genesee (22-1)	NY A Sec 3	99.7	1	L	3-	15		-0.025
5/18	LIVERPOOL (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	93.7		W	13-	6		0.100
5/25	LIVERPOOL (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	93.7		W	20-	10		0.100
5/29	BALDWINSVILLE (16-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.5	5	L	11-	12		-0.250
			90.1						0.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	H	McQuaid Jesuit	16-	6	10	8	+	-1.30		2.48
4/03	H	Corning East	8-	12	-4	0	–	-1.18		-3.90
4/05	A	Auburn	12-	8	4	3		1.48	0.53
4/10	A	Baldwinsville	5-	12	-7	-3	––	1.48	-4.18
4/12	H	West Genesee	8-	14	-6	-6		-1.48	-0.30
4/14	A	Liverpool	12-	10	2	3		1.48	-0.76
4/17	H	Henninger	14-	3	11	10		-1.48	0.59
4/19	A	Central Square	17-	11	6	6		1.48	-0.45
4/24	H	Geneva	12-	7	5	1	++	-1.30		4.15
4/28	H	Auburn	14-	7	7	6		-1.48	0.57
5/01	H	Baldwinsville	14-	7	7	0	+++	-1.48	6.86
5/03	H	Fayetteville-Manlius	13-	12	1	3		-1.48	-1.65
5/08	A	Corcoran	16-	7	9	10		1.48	-1.08
5/09	A	Oswego	11-	8	3	1		1.48	1.58
5/11	H	Nottingham	17-	7	10	13	–	-1.48	-2.78
5/15	A	West Genesee	3-	15	-12	-9	–	1.48	-3.33
5/18	H	Liverpool	13-	6	7	6		-1.48	1.28
5/25	H	Liverpool	20-	10	10	6	++	-1.48	4.28
5/29	H	Baldwinsville	11-	12	-1	0		-1.48	-1.14
									0.00	2.73

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	H	McQuaid Jesuit	16-	6	0.00
4/17	H	Henninger	14-	3	-0.59
5/11	H	Nottingham	17-	7	2.78
5/15	A	West Genesee	3-	15	2.00
5/25	H	Liverpool	20-	10	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	69
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	97.16		Natl Power Rank	65
Natl SOS Rating	89.97		Natl SOS Rank	142
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	298
W-L Pct Rating	0.74		W-L Pct Rank	457
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3


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