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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Colorado Academy Mustangs (13-2)

Region: CO South

State: CO

Coach: Chris Spangler

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/10	GEORGE WASHINGTON (9-6)	CO South	82.4		W	11-	0		0.050
3/14	at Denver South (4-10)	CO South	78.1		W	15-	2		0.000
3/16	ST. MARY'S ACADEMY (0-11)	CO South	71.2		W	13-	0		0.000
3/21	CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN (12-4)	CO South	89.3		W	9-	5		0.200
4/04	at Pueblo West (1-13)	CO South	74.3		W	16-	4		0.000
4/06	at W.J. Palmer (7-8)	CO South	82.2		W	12-	4		0.100
4/12	EVERGREEN (5-9)	CO Foothil	80.1		W	8-	3		0.050
4/18	DENVER EAST (11-7)	CO South	91.0	9	W	11-	10	ot	0.300
4/21	AIR ACADEMY (10-6)	CO South	88.5		W	9-	8		0.225
4/23	at Colorado Springs Sch (4-10)	CO South	77.8		W	15-	3		0.000
4/25	at Kent Denver (16-2)	CO South	98.6	1	L	6-	16		-0.075
4/27	at Lewis Palmer (9-8)	CO South	83.3		W	10-	3		0.125
4/28	at Fountain Valley (4-8)	CO South	78.6		W	12-	2		0.000
4/30	BOULDER (6-10)	CO Centenn	81.3		W	11-	3		0.050
5/09	HERITAGE (9-9)	CO Contl	90.9	10	L	6-	14		-0.150
			85.4						0.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	H	George Washington	11-	0	11	8	+	-0.59	3.00
3/14	A	Denver South	15-	2	13	10	+	0.59	3.17
3/16	H	St. Mary's Academy	13-	0	13	21	–––	-0.59	-7.82
3/21	H	Cheyenne Mountain	9-	5	4	2	+	-0.59	2.45
4/04	A	Pueblo West	16-	4	12	14		0.59	-1.92
4/06	A	W.J. Palmer	12-	4	8	6		0.59	1.88
4/12	H	Evergreen	8-	3	5	8	–	-0.59	-3.12
4/18	H	Denver East	11-	10	1	-2	+	-0.59	3.36
4/21	H	Air Academy	9-	8	1	1		-0.59	0.39
4/23	A	Colorado Springs Sch	15-	3	12	10		0.59	1.90
4/25	A	Kent Denver	6-	16	-10	-7	–	0.59	-2.53
4/27	A	Lewis Palmer	10-	3	7	5	+	0.59	2.20
4/28	A	Fountain Valley	12-	2	10	10		0.59	0.41
4/30	H	Boulder	11-	3	8	8		-0.59	0.37
5/09	H	Heritage	6-	14	-8	-4	–	-0.59	-3.74
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/10	H	George Washington	11-	0	-1.00
3/14	A	Denver South	15-	2	-3.17
3/16	H	St. Mary's Academy	13-	0	7.82
4/04	A	Pueblo West	16-	4	1.92
4/23	A	Colorado Springs Sch	15-	3	-1.90
4/25	A	Kent Denver	6-	16	0.00
4/28	A	Fountain Valley	12-	2	-0.41
10-goal correction: 0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	397
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.38		Natl Power Rank	397
Natl SOS Rating	80.39		Natl SOS Rank	844
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	312
W-L Pct Rating	0.87		W-L Pct Rank	114
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3

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