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Dublin Coffman Shamrocks (11-9)

Region: OH 1 Reg 1

State: OH

Coach: Marc Carlson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Hilliard Davidson (0-15)	OH 1 Reg 2	83.9		W	13-	3		0.075
3/31	ARCHBISHOP MOELLER (16-5)	OH 1 Reg 4	96.7	5	L	6-	14		-0.200
4/05	LOUISVILLE TRINITY (16-3)	KY Div-1	91.0		W	9-	1		0.150
4/06	WORTHINGTON KILBOURNE (15-7)	OH 1 Reg 2	96.2	6	L	5-	7		-0.225
4/11	UPPER ARLINGTON (20-1)	OH 1 Reg 1	98.8	1	L	3-	10		-0.075
4/13	at Toledo St John's (13-9)	OH 1 Reg 1	91.2		L	6-	9		-0.300
4/18	at Thomas Worthington (11-9)	OH 1 Reg 1	92.7		W	10-	9	ot	0.275
4/20	MEDINA (8-8)	OH 1 Reg 3	90.9		W	17-	4		0.125
4/23	at Olentangy HS (11-6)	OH 1 Reg 1	90.8		W	11-	5		0.175
4/25	at Hilliard Darby (2-15)	OH 1 Reg 1	84.7		W	14-	4		0.075
4/27	at Hudson (19-1)	OH 1 Reg 3	97.5	3	L	8-	9		-0.150
5/02	DUBLIN SCIOTO (11-9)	OH 1 Reg 2	92.9		W	9-	7		0.250
5/05	KENT ROOSEVELT (13-3)	OH 1 Reg 3	94.0	8	W	11-	7		0.200
5/09	at Westerville North (7-12)	OH 1 Reg 1	87.2		W	8-	7	2ot	0.125
5/11	DUBLIN JEROME (16-5)	OH 1 Reg 2	96.9	4	L	3-	14		-0.175
5/14	at Liberty-Olentangy (8-9)	OH 1 Reg 2	89.8		L	7-	13		-0.325
5/19	vs. East Grand Rapids # (19-3)	MI 2	94.8		L	9-	10		-0.200
5/22	WESTERVILLE NORTH (7-12)	OH 1 Reg 1	87.2		W	14-	6		0.100
5/24	at Olentangy HS (11-6)	OH 1 Reg 1	90.8		W	15-	5		0.175
5/26	at Upper Arlington (20-1)	OH 1 Reg 1	98.8	1	L	6-	15		-0.025
# Neutral site			89.4						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Hilliard Davidson	13-	3	10	7	+	0.87	2.72
3/31	H	Archbishop Moeller	6-	14	-8	-2	––	-0.87	-5.83
4/05	H	Louisville Trinity	9-	1	8	4	++	-1.34		4.48
4/06	H	Worthington Kilbourne	5-	7	-2	-1		-0.87	-1.02
4/11	H	Upper Arlington	3-	10	-7	-7		-0.87	-0.20
4/13	A	Toledo St John's	6-	9	-3	2	––	0.87	-5.15
4/18	A	Thomas Worthington	10-	9	1	-1		0.87	1.58
4/20	H	Medina	17-	4	13	5	+++	-0.87	7.78
4/23	A	Olentangy HS	11-	5	6	3	+	0.87	2.64
4/25	A	Hilliard Darby	14-	4	10	7	+	0.87	3.06
4/27	A	Hudson	8-	9	-1	-4	+	0.87	2.62
5/02	H	Dublin Scioto	9-	7	2	0		-0.87	1.99
5/05	H	Kent Roosevelt	11-	7	4	2	+	-0.87	2.41
5/09	A	Westerville North	8-	7	1	5	–	0.87	-3.54
5/11	H	Dublin Jerome	3-	14	-11	-3	–––	-0.87	-8.02
5/14	A	Liberty-Olentangy	7-	13	-6	3	–––	0.87	-8.93
5/19	N	East Grand Rapids	9-	10	-1	-2		0.00		0.62
5/22	H	Westerville North	14-	6	8	6		-0.87	1.71
5/24	A	Olentangy HS	15-	5	10	3	+++	0.87	6.64
5/26	A	Upper Arlington	6-	15	-9	-9		0.87	-0.46
									0.00	5.11

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	A	Hilliard Davidson	13-	3	0.00
4/20	H	Medina	17-	4	-3.00
4/25	A	Hilliard Darby	14-	4	0.00
5/11	H	Dublin Jerome	3-	14	1.00
5/24	A	Olentangy HS	15-	5	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	94.		Natl CCR Rank	259
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.17		Natl Power Rank	259
Natl SOS Rating	88.04		Natl SOS Rank	228
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1242
W-L Pct Rating	0.55		W-L Pct Rank	1089
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0


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