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Columbine Rebels (11-5)

Region: CO Foothil

State: CO

Coach: Steve Bailey

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/09	at Steamboat Springs (4-7)	CO Foothil	79.9		W	16-	2		0.000
3/14	at Golden (10-6)	CO Foothil	88.4		W	9-	2		0.225
3/17	at Englewood (2-12)	CO Foothil	74.2		W	13-	0		0.000
3/21	at Evergreen (5-9)	CO Foothil	80.1		W	11-	3		0.025
3/24	at Littleton (7-7)	CO Contl	86.1		W	10-	5		0.150
3/28	vs. Calverton # (9-9)	MD MILL	85.3		W	7-	2		0.100
4/11	at Wheat Ridge (9-6)	CO Foothil	85.2		W	12-	2		0.150
4/13	at Mullen (13-4)	CO Centenn	95.1	6	L	7-	8		-0.150
4/14	at Green Mountain (10-5)	CO Foothil	86.8		W	7-	5		0.150
4/14	at Mountain Range (2-12)	CO Foothil	76.9		W	9-	3		0.000
4/21	at Monarch (11-7)	CO Foothil	87.6		W	8-	6		0.200
4/23	at Cherry Creek (13-4)	CO Centenn	97.4	3	L	1-	7		-0.100
4/25	at Alexander Dawson (9-6)	CO Foothil	86.0		W	8-	0		0.125
4/28	at Fort Collins Unified (15-4)	CO Foothil	97.9	2	L	3-	9		-0.100
5/02	DENVER EAST (11-7)	CO South	91.0	9	L	5-	11		-0.225
5/09	GRANDVIEW (9-5)	CO Centenn	90.1		L	5-	6		-0.300
# Neutral site			88.4						0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/09	A	Steamboat Springs	16-	2	14	10	+	0.59	3.79
3/14	A	Golden	9-	2	7	1	++	0.59	5.81
3/17	A	Englewood	13-	0	13	19	–––	0.59	-6.17
3/21	A	Evergreen	11-	3	8	9		0.59	-0.56
3/24	A	Littleton	10-	5	5	4		0.59	1.00
3/28	N	Calverton	7-	2	5	6		0.00		-0.97
4/11	A	Wheat Ridge	12-	2	10	4	++	0.59	5.69
4/13	A	Mullen	7-	8	-1	-4	+	0.59	3.47
4/14	A	Green Mountain	7-	5	2	4		0.59	-1.91
4/14	A	Mountain Range	9-	3	6	13	–––	0.59	-6.90
4/21	A	Monarch	8-	6	2	2		0.59	0.29
4/23	A	Cherry Creek	1-	7	-6	-6		0.59	0.31
4/25	A	Alexander Dawson	8-	0	8	5	+	0.59	3.38
4/28	A	Fort Collins Unified	3-	9	-6	-6		0.59	-0.33
5/02	H	Denver East	5-	11	-6	-1	––	-0.59	-5.26
5/09	H	Grandview	5-	6	-1	2	–	-0.59	-2.61
									0.00	-0.97

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/09	A	Steamboat Springs	16-	2	-3.79
3/17	A	Englewood	13-	0	6.17
4/11	A	Wheat Ridge	12-	2	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.15

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	353
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	91.24		Natl Power Rank	353
Natl SOS Rating	86.66		Natl SOS Rank	296
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	963
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	594
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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