| Conference: Div I | Region: NY A Sec 11 | State: NY | Coach: Pat Collins |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/22 | at Lindenhurst (10-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 94.1 | | L | 6- | 10 | | -0.100 |
3/28 | MIDDLE COUNTRY (4-13) | NY A Sec 11 | 86.7 | | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.275 |
4/10 | SMITHTOWN EAST (16-4) | NY A Sec 11 | 97.7 | 6 | L | 3- | 15 | | 0.000 |
4/13 | BELLPORT (10-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 88.5 | | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.300 |
4/14 | HAUPPAUGE (8-9) | NY B Sec 11 | 91.5 | | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.200 |
4/17 | DEER PARK (6-11) | NY A Sec 11 | 86.3 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.150 |
4/18 | at Copiague (3-14) | NY A Sec 11 | 84.7 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.125 |
4/20 | at Riverhead (8-9) | NY A Sec 11 | 87.1 | | W | 9- | 3 | | 0.225 |
4/26 | at Sachem East (10-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 94.5 | | L | 4- | 8 | | -0.100 |
5/02 | at Brentwood (0-16) | NY A Sec 11 | 82.6 | | W | 19- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/04 | COMMACK (7-10) | NY A Sec 11 | 90.2 | | L | 9- | 10 | ot | -0.225 |
5/08 | at East Islip (8-9) | NY A Sec 11 | 90.1 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.300 |
5/10 | at Smithtown West (15-4) | NY A Sec 11 | 97.8 | 4 | L | 7- | 18 | | 0.000 |
5/14 | LONGWOOD (9-7) | NY A Sec 11 | 89.7 | | L | 3- | 10 | | -0.250 |
5/17 | PATCHOGUE-MEDFORD (10-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 92.2 | | L | 10- | 11 | | -0.200 |
5/18 | at Walt Whitman (4-13) | NY A Sec 11 | 85.5 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.175 |
| | 84.7 | | | | | | -0.68 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/22 | A | Lindenhurst | 6- | 10 | -4 | -6 | + | 0.83 | 2.39 | |
3/28 | H | Middle Country | 6- | 7 | -1 | 1 | – | -0.83 | -2.43 | |
4/10 | H | Smithtown East | 3- | 15 | -12 | -11 | | -0.83 | -1.38 | |
4/13 | H | Bellport | 6- | 8 | -2 | 2 | – | -0.83 | -3.60 | |
4/14 | H | Hauppauge | 4- | 12 | -8 | -2 | –– | -0.83 | -5.83 | |
4/17 | H | Deer Park | 10- | 9 | 1 | 4 | – | -0.83 | -2.98 | |
4/18 | A | Copiague | 10- | 7 | 3 | 5 | – | 0.83 | -2.47 | |
4/20 | A | Riverhead | 9- | 3 | 6 | 1 | ++ | 0.83 | 5.31 | |
4/26 | A | Sachem East | 4- | 8 | -4 | -6 | + | 0.83 | 2.41 | |
5/02 | A | Brentwood | 19- | 5 | 14 | 10 | + | 0.83 | 3.83 | |
5/04 | H | Commack | 9- | 10 | -1 | -1 | | -0.83 | 0.00 | |
5/08 | A | East Islip | 13- | 6 | 7 | -2 | +++ | 0.83 | 9.46 | |
5/10 | A | Smithtown West | 7- | 18 | -11 | -12 | | 0.83 | 1.49 | |
5/14 | H | Longwood | 3- | 10 | -7 | 0 | ––– | -0.83 | -7.24 | |
5/17 | H | Patchogue-Medford | 10- | 11 | -1 | -2 | | -0.83 | 0.96 | |
5/18 | A | Walt Whitman | 10- | 7 | 3 | 3 | | 0.83 | 0.07 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/10 | H | Smithtown East | 3- | 15 | 1.38 |
5/02 | A | Brentwood | 19- | 5 | -3.83 |
5/10 | A | Smithtown West | 7- | 18 | -1.49 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.25 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 88. | | Natl CCR Rank | 850 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 87.23 | | Natl Power Rank | 850 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 78.88 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1008 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.68 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2372 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.38 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1746 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -11.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -11.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.7 |
|
