| Region: AZ Div-2 | State: AZ | Coach: Craig Fertelmes |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/13 | at Horizon (4-9) | AZ Div-2 | 74.5 | | W | 18- | 7 | | 0.025 |
2/17 | at Pinnacle (7-7) | AZ Div-2 | 81.9 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.150 |
2/24 | at Mesa (3-9) | AZ Div-2 | 75.3 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.025 |
3/03 | TUCSON TANQUE VERDE (8-6) | AZ Div-2 | 83.8 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.150 |
3/05 | at Brophy Prep (15-5) | AZ Div-1 | 94.8 | 1 | L | 5- | 15 | | -0.025 |
3/09 | at Mountain Pointe (7-6) | AZ Div-1 | 87.9 | 6 | L | 6- | 12 | | -0.175 |
3/14 | at Desert Vista (10-4) | AZ Div-1 | 90.9 | 3 | L | 7- | 11 | | -0.150 |
3/20 | HAMILTON (10-4) | AZ Div-2 | 87.0 | 10 | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.200 |
3/24 | at Mesa (3-9) | AZ Div-2 | 75.3 | | W | 15- | 3 | | 0.025 |
3/27 | at Basha (2-10) | AZ Div-2 | 71.2 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.000 |
3/30 | SCOTTSDALE CHRISTIAN (0-12) | AZ Div-2 | 64.9 | | W | 18- | 0 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | at Phoenix Country Day (5-8) | AZ Div-2 | 78.6 | | W | 16- | 4 | | 0.125 |
4/20 | PINNACLE (7-7) | AZ Div-2 | 81.9 | | W | 10- | 8 | | 0.100 |
4/27 | vs. Hamilton # (10-4) | AZ Div-2 | 87.0 | 10 | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.275 |
| # Neutral site | | 81.7 | | | | | | 0.18 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/13 | A | Horizon | 18- | 7 | 11 | 9 | | 1.03 | 1.66 | |
2/17 | A | Pinnacle | 9- | 8 | 1 | 4 | – | 1.03 | -2.74 | |
2/24 | A | Mesa | 15- | 2 | 13 | 9 | + | 1.03 | 3.57 | |
3/03 | H | Tucson Tanque Verde | 12- | 6 | 6 | 4 | + | -1.03 | 2.34 | |
3/05 | A | Brophy Prep | 5- | 15 | -10 | -9 | | 1.03 | -1.06 | |
3/09 | A | Mountain Pointe | 6- | 12 | -6 | -3 | – | 1.03 | -2.91 | |
3/14 | A | Desert Vista | 7- | 11 | -4 | -4 | | 1.03 | -0.11 | |
3/20 | H | Hamilton | 9- | 8 | 1 | 2 | | -1.03 | -1.39 | |
3/24 | A | Mesa | 15- | 3 | 12 | 9 | + | 1.03 | 2.57 | |
3/27 | A | Basha | 15- | 5 | 10 | 12 | | 1.03 | -1.83 | |
3/30 | H | Scottsdale Christian | 18- | 0 | 18 | 19 | | -1.03 | -0.50 | |
4/14 | A | Phoenix Country Day | 16- | 4 | 12 | 5 | +++ | 1.03 | 6.56 | |
4/20 | H | Pinnacle | 10- | 8 | 2 | 6 | – | -1.03 | -3.79 | |
4/27 | N | Hamilton | 9- | 10 | -1 | 1 | – | 0.00 | -2.37 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/13 | A | Horizon | 18- | 7 | -1.00 |
2/24 | A | Mesa | 15- | 2 | -3.00 |
3/05 | A | Brophy Prep | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
3/24 | A | Mesa | 15- | 3 | -2.00 |
3/27 | A | Basha | 15- | 5 | 1.83 |
3/30 | H | Scottsdale Christian | 18- | 0 | 0.50 |
4/14 | A | Phoenix Country Day | 16- | 4 | -2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.41 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 88. | | Natl CCR Rank | 927 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 87.22 | | Natl Power Rank | 927 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 73.46 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1543 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.18 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 976 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.71 | | W-L Pct Rank | 509 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 10-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.3 |
| 
