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Citrus Park Geckos (2-12)

Region: FL WFLL-A

State: FL

Coach: Bryan Martin

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/16	at Clearwater (10-5)	FL WFLL-A	74.7		L	2-	10		-0.025
2/19	at Hernando LC (2-8)	FL WFLL-A	61.8		L	2-	10		-0.275
2/21	at Freedom-Tampa (11-4)	FL WFLL-A	74.8		L	7-	10		-0.025
2/24	at Wesley Chapel (13-6)	FL WFLL-A	75.6		L	1-	14		0.000
2/26	at Berkeley Prep (4-8)	FL WFLL-B	57.4		W	11-	5		0.175
2/28	H.B. PLANT (15-2)	FL WFLL-A	79.9	5	L	1-	9		0.000
3/02	at St Petersburg (10-7)	FL WFLL-A	70.9		L	10-	13		-0.175
3/10	at Clearwater (10-5)	FL WFLL-A	74.7		L	1-	17		-0.025
3/12	at Fish Hawk LC (7-9)	FL WFLL-A	67.8		L	8-	13		-0.150
3/27	at Tampa Jesuit (8-7)	FL WFLL-A	73.7		L	4-	16		0.000
4/05	FREEDOM-TAMPA (11-4)	FL WFLL-A	74.8		L	3-	9		-0.100
4/11	at H.B. Plant (15-2)	FL WFLL-A	79.9	5	L	5-	20		0.000
4/13	HERNANDO LC (2-8)	FL WFLL-A	61.8		W	13-	8		0.175
4/17	at H.B. Plant (15-2)	FL WFLL-A	79.9	5	L	2-	13		0.000
			72.3						-0.43

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/16	A	Clearwater	2-	10	-8	-9		1.30	1.48
2/19	A	Hernando LC	2-	10	-8	1	–––	1.30	-8.66
2/21	A	Freedom-Tampa	7-	10	-3	-9	++	1.30	5.94
2/24	A	Wesley Chapel	1-	14	-13	-12		1.30	-1.38
2/26	A	Berkeley Prep	11-	5	6	3	+	1.30	3.47
2/28	H	H.B. Plant	1-	9	-8	-12	+	-1.30	3.53
3/02	A	St Petersburg	10-	13	-3	-3		1.30	0.48
3/10	A	Clearwater	1-	17	-16	-9	–––	1.30	-6.52
3/12	A	Fish Hawk LC	8-	13	-5	-4		1.30	-0.91
3/27	A	Tampa Jesuit	4-	16	-12	-10		1.30	-1.74
4/05	H	Freedom-Tampa	3-	9	-6	-6		-1.30	0.34
4/11	A	H.B. Plant	5-	20	-15	-14		1.30	-0.88
4/13	H	Hernando LC	13-	8	5	3		-1.30	1.75
4/17	A	H.B. Plant	2-	13	-11	-14	+	1.30	3.12
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/24	A	Wesley Chapel	1-	14	1.38
3/10	A	Clearwater	1-	17	6.00
3/27	A	Tampa Jesuit	4-	16	2.00
4/11	A	H.B. Plant	5-	20	0.88
4/17	A	H.B. Plant	2-	13	-3.12
10-goal correction: 0.51

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	64.		Natl CCR Rank	2632
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	63.20		Natl Power Rank	2632
Natl SOS Rating	57.19		Natl SOS Rank	2566
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.43		Natl Quality Win Rank	2074
W-L Pct Rating	0.14		W-L Pct Rank	2354
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.0


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