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Crespi Celts (7-12)

Conference: D1

Region: CA Mission

State: CA

Coach: Jon Oswaks

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/27	MALIBU (1-10)	CA Indep	73.2		W	9-	4		0.150
3/01	at Oaks Christian (5-11)	CA Condor	74.8		W	11-	6		0.175
3/03	at Avalon-Catalina (6-5)	CA Sunset	77.7		W	12-	6		0.275
3/08	at New Jewish Comm'ty HS (3-10)	CA Indep	69.3		W	9-	3		0.125
3/09	at J Serra Catholic (13-4)	CA Trinity	89.2	6	L	2-	12		-0.050
3/13	LOYOLA-LOS ANGELES (12-2)	CA Mission	90.8	4	L	2-	6		-0.075
3/20	at Brentwood School (8-7)	CA Mission	81.9		L	4-	5		-0.175
3/23	CATE SCHOOL (13-4)	CA Condor	89.0	8	L	1-	9		-0.100
3/24	at Harvard-Westlake (10-6)	CA Mission	84.9		L	2-	14		-0.100
3/27	at Chaminade Prep (8-6)	CA Mission	85.1		L	3-	9		-0.100
3/31	at Loyola-Los Angeles (12-2)	CA Mission	90.8	4	L	5-	11		-0.025
4/03	at Windward School (2-12)	CA Mission	74.8		L	2-	3		-0.275
4/14	PALOS VERDES (19-1)	CA So-Bay	94.8	3	L	4-	13		0.000
4/17	at Brentwood School (8-7)	CA Mission	81.9		W	8-	7	ot	0.325
4/21	CHAMINADE PREP (8-6)	CA Mission	85.1		L	3-	16		-0.150
4/24	HARVARD-WESTLAKE (10-6)	CA Mission	84.9		L	5-	6		-0.175
4/26	OAKS CHRISTIAN (5-11)	CA Condor	74.8		L	9-	10		-0.375
5/01	at Culver City (5-14)	CA So-Bay	73.6		W	10-	4		0.200
5/04	at Ojai Valley (0-9)	CA Condor	59.3		W	16-	7		0.000
			83.8						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	H	Malibu	9-	4	5	4		-1.07	1.28
3/01	A	Oaks Christian	11-	6	5	3	+	1.07	2.47
3/03	A	Avalon-Catalina	12-	6	6	-1	+++	1.07	7.20
3/08	A	New Jewish Comm'ty HS	9-	3	6	5		1.07	0.56
3/09	A	J Serra Catholic	2-	12	-10	-8		1.07	-1.61
3/13	H	Loyola-Los Angeles	2-	6	-4	-7	+	-1.07	2.77
3/20	A	Brentwood School	4-	5	-1	-3		1.07	1.64
3/23	H	Cate School	1-	9	-8	-6	–	-1.07	-2.18
3/24	A	Harvard-Westlake	2-	14	-12	-6	–––	1.07	-6.45
3/27	A	Chaminade Prep	3-	9	-6	-6		1.07	-0.28
3/31	A	Loyola-Los Angeles	5-	11	-6	-9	+	1.07	2.91
4/03	A	Windward School	2-	3	-1	1		1.07	-1.80
4/14	H	Palos Verdes	4-	13	-9	-11		-1.07	1.93
4/17	A	Brentwood School	8-	7	1	-3	+	1.07	3.64
4/21	H	Chaminade Prep	3-	16	-13	-4	–––	-1.07	-9.41
4/24	H	Harvard-Westlake	5-	6	-1	-3	+	-1.07	2.42
4/26	H	Oaks Christian	9-	10	-1	5	––	-1.07	-5.67
5/01	A	Culver City	10-	4	6	2	++	1.07	4.42
5/04	A	Ojai Valley	16-	7	9	13	–	1.07	-3.83
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/09	A	J Serra Catholic	2-	12	0.00
3/24	A	Harvard-Westlake	2-	14	2.00
4/21	H	Chaminade Prep	3-	16	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	1815
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.38		Natl Power Rank	1815
Natl SOS Rating	77.31		Natl SOS Rank	1156
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	1946
W-L Pct Rating	0.37		W-L Pct Rank	1765
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.7


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