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Caravel Academy Buccaneers (4-11)

Region: DE Indep

State: DE

Coach: Bob Bieschke

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/22	at Dover (6-10)	DE Caphen	75.6		L	3-	4		-0.150
3/27	MIDDLETOWN (13-4)	DE Bluhen	90.1	6	L	3-	18		0.000
3/29	WILMINGTON CHARTER (15-4)	DE Bluhen	90.1	5	L	2-	16		0.000
3/31	SAINT ELIZABETH (8-8)	DE Indep	72.3		L	9-	10	ot	-0.250
4/03	SANFORD (6-8)	DE IndCon	79.8		L	2-	8		-0.100
4/05	at Rising Sun (11-2)	MD 21 South	77.6		L	4-	11		-0.050
4/16	SUSSEX TECH (2-13)	DE Caphen	67.9		W	13-	7		0.200
4/19	POLYTECH (14-3)	DE Caphen	81.9		L	3-	12		-0.100
4/25	WILMINGTON CHRISTIAN (14-3)	DE Indep	77.8		L	5-	15		-0.200
4/28	at Red Lion Christian (9-8)	DE Indep	70.8		W	10-	8		0.225
4/30	ST THOMAS MORE PREP (6-9)	DE Indep	67.3		W	11-	6		0.150
5/02	DELMARVA CHRISTIAN (8-9)	DE Indep	72.2		W	14-	12		0.225
5/10	ARCHMERE ACADEMY (9-8)	DE Cathlc	84.8	10	L	4-	15		0.000
5/12	at Saint Mark's (7-9)	DE Cathlc	83.2		L	3-	18		0.000
5/14	at Newark (8-8)	DE Bluhen	74.9		L	7-	8	ot	-0.150
			79.5						-0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	A	Dover	3-	4	-1	-4	+	0.56	3.30
3/27	H	Middletown	3-	18	-15	-15		-0.56	-0.18
3/29	H	Wilmington Charter	2-	16	-14	-15		-0.56	0.97
3/31	H	Saint Elizabeth	9-	10	-1	0		-0.56	-1.19
4/03	H	Sanford	2-	8	-6	-6		-0.56	0.32
4/05	A	Rising Sun	4-	11	-7	-8		0.64		0.88
4/16	H	Sussex Tech	13-	7	6	2	+	-0.56	3.86
4/19	H	Polytech	3-	12	-9	-6	–	-0.56	-3.03
4/25	H	Wilmington Christian	5-	15	-10	-2	–––	-0.56	-7.54
4/28	A	Red Lion Christian	10-	8	2	1		0.56	1.26
4/30	H	St Thomas More Prep	11-	6	5	4		-0.56	0.74
5/02	H	DelMarva Christian	14-	12	2	1		-0.56	1.45
5/10	H	Archmere Academy	4-	15	-11	-11		-0.56	0.43
5/12	A	Saint Mark's	3-	18	-15	-12	–	0.56	-3.06
5/14	A	Newark	7-	8	-1	-4	+	0.56	2.67
									0.00	0.88

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Middletown	3-	18	0.18
3/29	H	Wilmington Charter	2-	16	-0.97
4/25	H	Wilmington Christian	5-	15	0.00
5/10	H	Archmere Academy	4-	15	-0.43
5/12	A	Saint Mark's	3-	18	3.06
10-goal correction: 0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	71.		Natl CCR Rank	2387
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.35		Natl Power Rank	2387
Natl SOS Rating	69.31		Natl SOS Rank	1990
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1749
W-L Pct Rating	0.27		W-L Pct Rank	2070
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.0

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