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Cincinnati St Xavier Bombers (15-6)

Region: OH 1 Reg 4

State: OH

Coach: Pat Collura

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	TURPIN (10-7)	OH 2 Reg 4	82.5		W	17-	6		0.000
3/31	DUBLIN JEROME (16-5)	OH 1 Reg 2	96.9	4	L	6-	11		-0.200
4/02	WESTERVILLE SOUTH (7-11)	OH 1 Reg 2	88.2		W	17-	6		0.050
4/04	WORTHINGTON KILBOURNE (15-7)	OH 1 Reg 2	96.2	6	W	5-	2		0.250
4/14	at Cincinnati Sycamore (8-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	88.7		W	13-	8		0.150
4/18	SEVEN HILLS (4-10)	OH 2 Reg 4	76.3		W	17-	3		0.000
4/21	LOUISVILLE ST XAVIER (15-7)	KY Div-1	89.3		W	10-	5		0.075
4/26	MARIEMONT (14-4)	OH 2 Reg 4	93.0		W	13-	8		0.175
4/28	vs. Toledo St John's # (13-9)	OH 1 Reg 1	91.2		L	11-	12	ot	-0.350
4/28	vs. Milwaukee Marquette # (10-10)	WI MALL	79.5		W	17-	2		0.000
4/29	at Brebeuf Jesuit (13-7)	IN ICC	88.4		W	9-	3		0.125
4/29	vs. St Ignatius Prep # (13-8)	IL Metro	81.4		W	13-	3		0.000
5/02	at Lakota West (10-7)	OH 1 Reg 4	90.7		W	9-	6		0.150
5/05	at Archbishop Moeller (16-5)	OH 1 Reg 4	96.7	5	L	7-	9		-0.175
5/08	at Anderson (17-4)	OH 4 South	85.9		W	13-	7		0.050
5/11	at Upper Arlington (20-1)	OH 1 Reg 1	98.8	1	L	3-	13		-0.075
5/16	at Cincinnati Indian Hill (11-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	93.6	9	L	8-	9		-0.300
5/19	CINCINNATI COU DAY (13-9)	OH 2 Reg 4	86.6		W	14-	7		0.025
5/22	KINGS (3-10)	OH 1 Reg 4	81.6		W	19-	3		0.000
5/24	at Cincinnati Indian Hill (11-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	93.6	9	W	15-	8		0.200
5/26	at Archbishop Moeller (16-5)	OH 1 Reg 4	96.7	5	L	8-	10		-0.175
# Neutral site			87.7						-0.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	Turpin	17-	6	11	14	–	-1.28		-2.57
3/31	H	Dublin Jerome	6-	11	-5	-2	–	-0.87	-3.36
4/02	H	Westerville South	17-	6	11	8	+	-0.87	2.63
4/04	H	Worthington Kilbourne	5-	2	3	0	+	-0.87	2.65
4/14	A	Cincinnati Sycamore	13-	8	5	4		0.87	0.82
4/18	H	Seven Hills	17-	3	14	20	––	-1.28		-5.77
4/21	H	Louisville St Xavier	10-	5	5	7		-1.34		-1.85
4/26	H	Mariemont	13-	8	5	3		-1.28		1.90
4/28	N	Toledo St John's	11-	12	-1	4	––	0.00	-5.36
4/28	N	Milwaukee Marquette	17-	2	15	15		0.00		-0.34
4/29	A	Brebeuf Jesuit	9-	3	6	5		1.77		1.31
4/29	N	St Ignatius Prep	13-	3	10	13	–	0.00		-3.39
5/02	A	Lakota West	9-	6	3	4		0.87	-0.63
5/05	A	Archbishop Moeller	7-	9	-2	-3		0.87	0.58
5/08	A	Anderson	13-	7	6	8	–	0.89		-2.00
5/11	A	Upper Arlington	3-	13	-10	-7	–	0.87	-2.79
5/16	A	Cincinnati Indian Hill	8-	9	-1	2	–	0.87	-2.65
5/19	H	Cincinnati Cou Day	14-	7	7	9	–	-1.28		-2.45
5/22	H	Kings	19-	3	16	14	+	-0.87	2.16
5/24	A	Cincinnati Indian Hill	15-	8	7	2	++	0.87	5.35
5/26	A	Archbishop Moeller	8-	10	-2	-3		0.87	0.58
									0.00	-15.16

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	Turpin	17-	6	2.57
4/02	H	Westerville South	17-	6	-1.00
4/18	H	Seven Hills	17-	3	5.77
4/28	N	Milwaukee Marquette	17-	2	0.34
4/29	N	St Ignatius Prep	13-	3	3.39
5/11	A	Upper Arlington	3-	13	0.00
5/22	H	Kings	19-	3	-2.16
10-goal correction: 0.42

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	127
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	94.82		Natl Power Rank	127
Natl SOS Rating	84.95		Natl SOS Rank	404
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	1487
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	530
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.0


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