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Cumberland Valley Eagles (15-4)

Region: PA Mid 1

State: PA

Coach: Scott Shea

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	at Conestoga Valley (12-11)	PA LL04	83.4	9	W	13-	8		0.200
3/29	HARRISBURG ACADEMY (5-10)	PA Mid 1	78.0		W	15-	3		0.000
3/30	at Central Dauphin East (4-12)	PA Mid 1	75.2		W	11-	6		0.000
4/05	at Manheim Township (26-1)	PA LL04	95.8	1	L	3-	11		-0.050
4/12	at Chambersburg (9-8)	PA Mid 1	80.3		W	11-	4		0.100
4/14	at Pennridge (4-14)	PA SubNat	84.9		W	12-	11		0.175
4/17	WARWICK (19-7)	PA LL04	88.2	5	W	10-	9	ot	0.200
4/19	at Bishop McDevitt (1-14)	PA Mid 1	69.8		W	15-	3		0.000
4/21	PARKLAND (11-5)	PA PVLL-LV	90.0		W	9-	2		0.250
4/24	at Central Dauphin (4-12)	PA Mid 1	76.6		W	12-	2		0.050
4/26	HERSHEY (12-6)	PA Mid 1	83.7	8	W	12-	2		0.100
5/01	at Hempfield (18-6)	PA LL04	92.1	2	L	5-	6		-0.150
5/09	MERCERSBURG ACADEMY (2-12)	PA Indep	84.8		W	10-	6		0.125
5/11	CARLISLE (13-5)	PA Mid 1	87.1	6	L	10-	11		-0.325
5/15	PALMYRA (10-9)	PA Mid 1	81.3		W	11-	3		0.050
5/17	at Lower Dauphin (11-6)	PA Mid 1	81.4		W	17-	5		0.150
5/22	HERSHEY (12-6)	PA Mid 1	83.7	8	W	13-	6		0.100
5/25	at South-Western (10-8)	PA York 1	80.4		W	8-	5		0.125
5/30	WARWICK (19-7)	PA LL04	88.2	5	L	5-	8		-0.300
			84.3						0.80

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	A	Conestoga Valley	13-	8	5	2	+	1.55	2.97
3/29	H	Harrisburg Academy	15-	3	12	11		-1.55	1.00
3/30	A	Central Dauphin East	11-	6	5	11	––	1.55	-5.79
4/05	A	Manheim Township	3-	11	-8	-8		1.55	-0.20
4/12	A	Chambersburg	11-	4	7	6		1.55	1.33
4/14	A	Pennridge	12-	11	1	3		1.42		-1.51
4/17	H	Warwick	10-	9	1	2		-1.55	-1.46
4/19	A	Bishop McDevitt	15-	3	12	16	–	1.55	-3.87
4/21	H	Parkland	9-	2	7	0	+++	-1.42		6.78
4/24	A	Central Dauphin	12-	2	10	8		1.55	1.94
4/26	H	Hershey	12-	2	10	6	+	-1.55	3.78
5/01	A	Hempfield	5-	6	-1	-4	+	1.55	3.21
5/09	H	Mercersburg Academy	10-	6	4	5		-1.42		-1.39
5/11	H	Carlisle	10-	11	-1	3	––	-1.55	-4.24
5/15	H	Palmyra	11-	3	8	8		-1.55	-0.12
5/17	A	Lower Dauphin	17-	5	12	4	+++	1.55	7.77
5/22	H	Hershey	13-	6	7	6		-1.55	0.78
5/25	A	South-Western	8-	5	3	5		1.55	-1.62
5/30	H	Warwick	5-	8	-3	2	––	-1.55	-5.46
									0.00	3.87

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	Harrisburg Academy	15-	3	-1.00
4/19	A	Bishop McDevitt	15-	3	3.87
4/24	A	Central Dauphin	12-	2	0.00
4/26	H	Hershey	12-	2	0.00
5/17	A	Lower Dauphin	17-	5	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	692
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.81		Natl Power Rank	692
Natl SOS Rating	78.04		Natl SOS Rank	1087
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.80		Natl Quality Win Rank	355
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	293
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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