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Danbury Hatters (9-8)

Conference: FCIAC

Region: CT L

State: CT

Coach: Paul Purdy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	at Westhill (3-13)	CT L	80.3		W	14-	7		0.150
4/07	at Housatonic Valley (7-10)	CT S	81.0		W	9-	5		0.075
4/10	at Darien (19-3)	CT M	98.8	1	L	1-	20		0.000
4/12	NEW MILFORD (18-4)	CT L	95.9	7	L	9-	20		-0.050
4/14	IMMACULATE DANBURY (1-13)	CT S	79.2		W	15-	1		0.050
4/17	RIDGEFIELD (8-10)	CT L	93.3		L	4-	11		-0.100
4/20	FAIRFIELD-WARDE (4-12)	CT M	83.8		W	6-	5		0.150
4/25	GREENWICH HS (18-4)	CT L	97.0	3	L	3-	14		-0.025
4/27	at Bridgeport Central (2-12)	CT L	74.9		W	18-	6		0.025
5/01	NORWALK (11-7)	CT L	94.2		L	3-	13		-0.125
5/03	TRINITY CATHOLIC (0-16)	CT S	72.5		W	16-	0		0.000
5/08	STAMFORD (5-11)	CT L	83.4		W	14-	3		0.125
5/12	TRUMBULL (10-9)	CT L	91.1		L	5-	10		-0.225
5/14	at St Joseph-Trumbull (10-9)	CT S	90.0		W	8-	7		0.375
5/17	at New Canaan (16-6)	CT M	96.4	6	L	3-	10		0.000
5/23	LEWIS MILLS-BURLINGTON (2-12)	CT S	72.6		W	13-	3		0.000
6/02	at Simsbury (16-5)	CT L	94.9		L	8-	15		-0.050
			85.4						0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	A	Westhill	14-	7	7	4	+	1.70	3.34
4/07	A	Housatonic Valley	9-	5	4	7	–	1.70	-2.80
4/10	A	Darien	1-	20	-19	-15	–	1.70	-3.65
4/12	H	New Milford	9-	20	-11	-8	–	-1.70	-3.22
4/14	H	Immaculate Danbury	15-	1	14	8	++	-1.70	5.51
4/17	H	Ridgefield	4-	11	-7	-6		-1.70	-0.79
4/20	H	Fairfield-Warde	6-	5	1	4	–	-1.70	-3.40
4/25	H	Greenwich HS	3-	14	-11	-9	–	-1.70	-2.27
4/27	A	Bridgeport Central	18-	6	12	9	+	1.70	2.86
5/01	H	Norwalk	3-	13	-10	-5	––	-1.70	-5.10
5/03	H	Trinity Catholic	16-	0	16	14		-1.70	1.58
5/08	H	Stamford	14-	3	11	5	+++	-1.70	6.38
5/12	H	Trumbull	5-	10	-5	-1	––	-1.70	-4.24
5/14	A	St Joseph-Trumbull	8-	7	1	-5	+++	1.70	6.05
5/17	A	New Canaan	3-	10	-7	-11	++	1.70	4.33
5/23	H	Lewis Mills-Burlington	13-	3	10	16	–––	-1.70	-6.00
6/02	A	Simsbury	8-	15	-7	-8		1.70	1.41
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Darien	1-	20	3.65
4/12	H	New Milford	9-	20	1.00
4/14	H	Immaculate Danbury	15-	1	-4.00
4/25	H	Greenwich HS	3-	14	1.00
4/27	A	Bridgeport Central	18-	6	-2.00
5/01	H	Norwalk	3-	13	0.00
5/03	H	Trinity Catholic	16-	0	-1.58
5/08	H	Stamford	14-	3	-1.00
5/23	H	Lewis Mills-Burlington	13-	3	6.00
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	878
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.51		Natl Power Rank	878
Natl SOS Rating	80.96		Natl SOS Rank	788
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	730
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1159
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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