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Univ Detroit Jesuit Cubs (7-15)

Conference: MIDWEST

Region: MI 1

State: MI

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	FARMINGTON HILLS (9-12)	MI 1	84.8		W	16-	3		0.050
3/30	DETROIT COUNTRY DAY (12-10)	MI 2	90.1	10	L	7-	9		-0.250
4/03	DE LA SALLE (11-6)	MI 2	90.2	8	L	6-	13		-0.250
4/13	at Thomas Worthington (11-9)	OH 1 Reg 1	93.5		L	9-	14		-0.075
4/14	at Upper Arlington (20-1)	OH 1 Reg 1	98.8		L	2-	9		0.000
4/19	at Detroit Catholic Cent (13-6)	MI 1	92.9	5	L	4-	11		-0.075
4/21	FRANKLIN REGIONAL (8-10)	PA 1DSOUTH	92.3		W	5-	4	ot	0.325
4/22	MOUNT LEBANON (14-6)	PA 1DSOUTH	95.7		L	5-	8		-0.100
4/25	at Birmingham-Seaholm (11-10)	MI 1	90.2	9	L	4-	6		-0.150
4/28	at Troy Athens (17-4)	MI 1	94.2	3	L	4-	12		-0.050
5/01	BROTHER RICE (22-1)	MI 1	98.2	1	L	3-	20		-0.025
5/05	at OL St Mary's (3-13)	MI 2	82.6		W	13-	7		0.150
5/08	at Brother Rice (22-1)	MI 1	98.2	1	L	3-	19		0.000
5/10	GROSSE POINTE NORTH (11-6)	MI 2	85.5		W	13-	5		0.050
5/16	SALINE (19-1)	MI 1	90.3	7	L	7-	8	ot	-0.350
5/19	vs. Thomas Worthington # (11-9)	OH 1 Reg 1	93.5		L	8-	10		-0.100
5/20	vs. Detroit Country Day # (12-10)	MI 2	90.1	10	L	11-	14		-0.225
5/22	at Ann Arbor Pioneer (18-3)	MI 1	93.9	4	L	6-	12		-0.075
5/24	WALLED LAKE NORTHERN (5-13)	MI 1	79.9		W	16-	2		0.000
5/31	vs. Clarkston # (11-9)	MI 1	83.2		W	16-	3		0.075
6/02	vs. Birmingham-Seaholm # (11-10)	MI 1	90.2	9	W	11-	3		0.325
6/06	vs. Brother Rice # (22-1)	MI 1	98.2	1	L	4-	15		0.000
# Neutral site			89.3						-0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Farmington Hills	16-	3	13	8	++	-1.67	5.21
3/30	H	Detroit Country Day	7-	9	-2	0	–	-1.67	-2.18
4/03	H	De La Salle	6-	13	-7	0	–––	-1.67	-7.25
4/13	A	Thomas Worthington	9-	14	-5	-7		1.27		1.87
4/14	A	Upper Arlington	2-	9	-7	-12	++	1.27		5.20
4/19	A	Detroit Catholic Cent	4-	11	-7	-7		1.67	0.43
4/21	H	Franklin Regional	5-	4	1	-3	+	-1.57		3.85
4/22	H	Mount Lebanon	5-	8	-3	-6	+	-1.57		3.16
4/25	A	Birmingham-Seaholm	4-	6	-2	-4	+	1.67	2.26
4/28	A	Troy Athens	4-	12	-8	-8		1.67	-0.33
5/01	H	Brother Rice	3-	20	-17	-9	–––	-1.67	-7.57
5/05	A	OL St Mary's	13-	7	6	4		1.67	1.83
5/08	A	Brother Rice	3-	19	-16	-13	–	1.67	-3.23
5/10	H	Grosse Pointe North	13-	5	8	8		-1.67	-0.06
5/16	H	Saline	7-	8	-1	4	––	-1.67	-4.56
5/19	N	Thomas Worthington	8-	10	-2	-6	+	0.00		3.60
5/20	N	Detroit Country Day	11-	14	-3	-1		0.00	-1.51
5/22	A	Ann Arbor Pioneer	6-	12	-6	-7		1.67	1.01
5/24	H	Walled Lake Northern	16-	2	14	14		-1.67	-0.47
5/31	N	Clarkston	16-	3	13	7	++	0.00	5.73
6/02	N	Birmingham-Seaholm	11-	3	8	-3	+++	0.00	10.58
6/06	N	Brother Rice	4-	15	-11	-11		0.00	0.10
									0.00	17.68

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Farmington Hills	16-	3	-3.00
5/01	H	Brother Rice	3-	20	7.00
5/08	A	Brother Rice	3-	19	3.23
5/24	H	Walled Lake Northern	16-	2	0.47
5/31	N	Clarkston	16-	3	-3.00
6/06	N	Brother Rice	4-	15	-0.10
10-goal correction: 0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	684
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.92		Natl Power Rank	684
Natl SOS Rating	88.20		Natl SOS Rank	221
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	2594
W-L Pct Rating	0.32		W-L Pct Rank	1914
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-15		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-10		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-11		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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