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Desert Vista Thunder (10-4)

Region: AZ Div-1State: AZCoach: Bill Lynch

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
2/17DESERT MOUNTAIN (10-4)AZ Div-190.92W10- 4 0.225  
2/21at Highland (3-9)AZ Div-181.3W7- 5 0.125  
2/24CHANDLER (7-6)AZ Div-187.48W10- 6 0.150  
2/28at Gilbert (5-7)AZ Div-186.1W7- 6 0.225  
3/06TUCSON TANQUE VERDE (8-6)AZ Div-283.8W11- 7 0.075  
3/14CORONA DEL SOL (10-4)AZ Div-287.29W11- 7 0.150  
3/21BROPHY PREP (15-5)AZ Div-194.81W9- 8ot0.350  
3/24TUCSON (8-5)AZ Div-189.65W12- 6 0.225  
3/29SAGUARO (7-6)AZ Div-187.67L10-11 -0.325  
4/04at Notre Dame Prep (1-11)AZ Div-176.1W17- 7 0.000  
4/11at Chaparral (11-6)AZ Div-190.64L2- 7 -0.225  
4/13at Mountain Pointe (7-6)AZ Div-187.96L5- 8 -0.250  
4/18MOUNTAIN POINTE (7-6)AZ Div-187.96W8- 4 0.200  
4/21at Chaparral (11-6)AZ Div-190.64L5- 7 -0.225  
 87.5     0.70  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/17HDesert Mountain10-46   1       ++-1.03       4.65
2/21AHighland7-52   5       1.03       -3.01
2/24HChandler10-64   4       -1.03       0.13
2/28AGilbert7-61   1       1.03       -0.43
3/06HTucson Tanque Verde11-74   7       -1.03       -2.52
3/14HCorona del Sol11-74   4       -1.03       0.11
3/21HBrophy Prep9-81   -4       ++-1.03       5.02
3/24HTucson12-66   1       ++-1.03       4.88
3/29HSaguaro10-11-1   3       -1.03       -3.93
4/04ANotre Dame Prep17-710   10       1.03       0.34
4/11AChaparral2-7-5   -1       1.03       -3.82
4/13AMountain Pointe5-8-3   0       1.03       -2.77
4/18HMountain Pointe8-44   2       +-1.03       2.17
4/21AChaparral5-7-2   -1       1.03       -0.82
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/04ANotre Dame Prep17-7-0.34
10-goal correction: -0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 91.   Natl CCR Rank 575
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 90.86   Natl Power Rank 575
Natl SOS Rating 84.05   Natl SOS Rank 471
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.70   Natl Quality Win Rank 421
W-L Pct Rating 0.71   W-L Pct Rank 511
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 3-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 1.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 6-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.4
Wins/Losses (top 20) 10-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -0.3



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