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Dominion HS Titans (7-9)

Region: VA Dulles

State: VA

Coach: Pete Lenotti

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	MARSHALL (2-10)	VA Liberty	78.9		L	5-	10		-0.225
3/15	at Potomac Falls (7-6)	VA Dulles	78.3	9	L	4-	7		-0.150
3/20	at South Lakes (4-8)	VA Liberty	82.3		L	11-	12		-0.075
3/21	FALLS CHURCH (1-11)	VA Nationl	71.7		W	15-	8		0.075
3/26	at Park View (0-12)	VA Dulles	66.4		W	15-	6		0.100
3/29	LOUDOUN COUNTY (10-4)	VA Dulles	81.6	5	L	3-	10		-0.150
4/09	at Freedom-South Riding (2-12)	VA Dulles	72.3		W	16-	15	ot	0.200
4/11	FREEDOM-WOODBRIDGE (0-12)	VA Card	68.4		W	15-	3		0.000
4/19	at Loudoun Valley (9-8)	VA Dulles	80.8	6	L	10-	11		-0.050
4/21	BROAD RUN (15-2)	VA Dulles	85.3	2	L	5-	17		-0.025
4/23	at George Mason (6-7)	VA Dulles	77.9	10	W	7-	6		0.350
4/26	HERITAGE-LEESBURG (15-3)	VA Dulles	84.4	3	L	8-	20		-0.075
4/30	POTOMAC FALLS (7-6)	VA Dulles	78.3	9	L	9-	10	ot	-0.225
5/03	BRIAR WOODS (5-10)	VA Dulles	76.0		W	6-	5		0.175
5/10	at Potomac Falls (7-6)	VA Dulles	78.3	9	W	7-	6		0.350
5/14	vs. Broad Run # (15-2)	VA Dulles	85.3	2	L	6-	23		0.000
# Neutral site			78.0						0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	H	Marshall	5-	10	-5	-1	––	-1.56		-4.37
3/15	A	Potomac Falls	4-	7	-3	-4		1.92	1.36
3/20	A	South Lakes	11-	12	-1	-7	+++	1.56		6.14
3/21	H	Falls Church	15-	8	7	7		-1.56		0.47
3/26	A	Park View	15-	6	9	6	+	1.92	3.09
3/29	H	Loudoun County	3-	10	-7	-4	–	-1.92	-3.32
4/09	A	Freedom-South Riding	16-	15	1	2		1.92	-0.83
4/11	H	Freedom-Woodbridge	15-	3	12	10		-1.81		1.92
4/19	A	Loudoun Valley	10-	11	-1	-8	+++	1.92	6.86
4/21	H	Broad Run	5-	17	-12	-9	–	-1.92	-3.46
4/23	A	George Mason	7-	6	1	-4	++	1.92	5.11
4/26	H	Heritage-Leesburg	8-	20	-12	-7	––	-1.92	-5.45
4/30	H	Potomac Falls	9-	10	-1	-1		-1.92	-0.48
5/03	H	Briar Woods	6-	5	1	3		-1.92	-1.71
5/10	A	Potomac Falls	7-	6	1	-4	++	1.92	5.36
5/14	N	Broad Run	6-	23	-17	-10	–––	0.00	-6.54
									0.00	4.17

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/11	H	Freedom-Woodbridge	15-	3	-1.92
4/21	H	Broad Run	5-	17	2.00
4/26	H	Heritage-Leesburg	8-	20	2.00
5/14	N	Broad Run	6-	23	7.00
10-goal correction: 0.57

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2033
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.71		Natl Power Rank	2033
Natl SOS Rating	66.49		Natl SOS Rank	2169
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	852
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1552
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.0


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