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Durham Riverside Pirates (11-8)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Jim Kirkley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/06	at Greensboro Grimsley (10-8)	NC 4A	85.2		W	10-	9		0.200
3/09	GREENSBORO PAGE (16-4)	NC 4A	91.3	7	L	4-	12		-0.250
3/13	APEX (15-5)	NC 4A	92.8	3	W	9-	6		0.325
3/17	ANNAPOLIS AREA CHRISTN (6-10)	MD B MIAA	81.6		W	8-	6		0.075
3/20	DURHAM ACADEMY (7-9)	NC Prvate	84.4		W	9-	2		0.125
3/23	at East Chapel Hill (17-5)	NC 4A	92.3	5	L	3-	12		-0.175
3/29	at Chapel Hill (22-4)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	7-	16		-0.100
3/30	at Northern Durham (5-12)	NC 4A	76.5		W	14-	4		0.025
4/02	CARDINAL GIBBONS (17-4)	NC 3A/2A	90.9	8	L	2-	8		-0.250
4/04	at Western Alamance (6-12)	NC 3A/2A	79.8		W	12-	0		0.100
4/11	vs. Wesley Chapel # (13-6)	FL WFLL-A	75.6		W	11-	3		0.000
4/17	at Durham Jordan (11-9)	NC 4A	86.3		W	11-	8		0.225
4/20	CHAPEL HILL (22-4)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	6-	7		-0.125
4/24	EAST CHAPEL HILL (17-5)	NC 4A	92.3	5	L	6-	7	ot	-0.225
4/26	NORTHERN DURHAM (5-12)	NC 4A	76.5		W	15-	1		0.000
5/01	WESTERN GUILFORD (19-0)	NC 3A/2A	94.6	2	L	3-	6		-0.200
5/03	DURHAM JORDAN (11-9)	NC 4A	86.3		W	16-	10		0.175
5/08	GREENSBORO GRIMSLEY (10-8)	NC 4A	85.2		W	6-	4		0.150
5/11	at Charlotte Providence (20-4)	NC 4A	92.8	4	L	11-	12		-0.150
# Neutral site			88.2						-0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	A	Greensboro Grimsley	10-	9	1	2		0.74	-1.30
3/09	H	Greensboro Page	4-	12	-8	0	–––	-0.74	-7.95
3/13	H	Apex	9-	6	3	-3	++	-0.74	5.85
3/17	H	Annapolis Area Christn	8-	6	2	7	––	-1.09		-5.43
3/20	H	Durham Academy	9-	2	7	5	+	-1.20		2.19
3/23	A	East Chapel Hill	3-	12	-9	-3	–––	0.74	-6.08
3/29	A	Chapel Hill	7-	16	-9	-6	–	0.74	-3.01
3/30	A	Northern Durham	14-	4	10	9		0.74	0.66
4/02	H	Cardinal Gibbons	2-	8	-6	0	––	-0.74	-5.91
4/04	A	Western Alamance	12-	0	12	6	++	0.74	5.67
4/11	N	Wesley Chapel	11-	3	8	12	––	0.00		-4.35
4/17	A	Durham Jordan	11-	8	3	1		0.74	1.97
4/20	H	Chapel Hill	6-	7	-1	-5	+	-0.74	3.51
4/24	H	East Chapel Hill	6-	7	-1	-1		-0.74	0.44
4/26	H	Northern Durham	15-	1	14	11	+	-0.74	3.19
5/01	H	Western Guilford	3-	6	-3	-2		-0.74	-1.29
5/03	H	Durham Jordan	16-	10	6	3	+	-0.74	3.50
5/08	H	Greensboro Grimsley	6-	4	2	4		-0.74	-1.77
5/11	A	Charlotte Providence	11-	12	-1	-4	+	0.74	2.52
									0.00	-7.59

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/30	A	Northern Durham	14-	4	0.00
4/04	A	Western Alamance	12-	0	-2.00
4/26	H	Northern Durham	15-	1	-3.19
10-goal correction: -0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	742
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.98		Natl Power Rank	742
Natl SOS Rating	85.88		Natl SOS Rank	338
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1578
W-L Pct Rating	0.58		W-L Pct Rank	990
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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