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Denver South Rebels (4-10)

Region: CO South

State: CO

Coach: Judd Donnelly

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/10	at W.J. Palmer (7-8)	CO South	82.2		L	5-	11		-0.150
3/14	COLORADO ACADEMY (13-2)	CO South	91.4	7	L	2-	15		0.000
3/17	at Lewis Palmer (9-8)	CO South	83.3		L	5-	13		-0.100
3/21	DENVER EAST (11-7)	CO South	91.0	9	L	4-	14		0.000
3/29	vs. Steamboat Springs # (4-7)	CO Foothil	79.9		L	2-	10		-0.225
3/30	vs. Chaparral # (7-6)	CO Contl	84.6		L	5-	15		-0.100
4/04	at George Washington (9-6)	CO South	82.4		L	3-	6		-0.150
4/07	at Kent Denver (16-2)	CO South	98.6	1	L	1-	15		0.000
4/11	at St. Mary's Academy (0-11)	CO South	71.2		W	16-	4		0.025
4/14	PUEBLO WEST (1-13)	CO South	74.3		W	11-	3		0.125
4/19	CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN (12-4)	CO South	89.3		L	4-	9		-0.025
4/21	at Fountain Valley (4-8)	CO South	78.6		W	9-	8	ot	0.275
4/25	AIR ACADEMY (10-6)	CO South	88.5		L	3-	14		0.000
4/28	COLORADO SPRINGS SCH (4-10)	CO South	77.8		W	5-	4		0.225
# Neutral site			85.4						-0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	A	W.J. Palmer	5-	11	-6	-4		0.59	-1.71
3/14	H	Colorado Academy	2-	15	-13	-10	–	-0.59	-3.17
3/17	A	Lewis Palmer	5-	13	-8	-6	–	0.59	-2.39
3/21	H	Denver East	4-	14	-10	-13	+	-0.59	2.77
3/29	N	Steamboat Springs	2-	10	-8	-1	–––	0.00	-6.77
3/30	N	Chaparral	5-	15	-10	-6	–	0.00	-3.96
4/04	A	George Washington	3-	6	-3	-4		0.59	0.60
4/07	A	Kent Denver	1-	15	-14	-18	+	0.59	3.89
4/11	A	St. Mary's Academy	16-	4	12	9	+	0.59	2.77
4/14	H	Pueblo West	11-	3	8	5	+	-0.59	3.32
4/19	H	Cheyenne Mountain	4-	9	-5	-9	+	-0.59	3.87
4/21	A	Fountain Valley	9-	8	1	-1		0.59	1.83
4/25	H	Air Academy	3-	14	-11	-10		-0.59	-1.19
4/28	H	Colorado Springs Sch	5-	4	1	1		-0.59	0.14
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	H	Colorado Academy	2-	15	3.00
3/21	H	Denver East	4-	14	-2.77
3/30	N	Chaparral	5-	15	0.00
4/07	A	Kent Denver	1-	15	-3.89
4/11	A	St. Mary's Academy	16-	4	-2.00
4/25	H	Air Academy	3-	14	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1853
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.07		Natl Power Rank	1853
Natl SOS Rating	80.78		Natl SOS Rank	809
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	1545
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	2015
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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