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Durham Academy Cavaliers (7-9)

Region: NC Prvate

State: NC

Coach: Mike Keeney

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/08	FORSYTH COU DAY (9-10)	NC Prvate	84.6	5	W	9-	3		0.250
3/17	WOODBERRY FOREST (11-6)	VA 1 VIP	89.4		L	2-	8		-0.150
3/20	at Durham Riverside (11-8)	NC 4A	88.0		L	2-	9		-0.125
3/23	TATNALL (13-5)	DE IndCon	92.3		L	5-	13		-0.075
3/27	DURHAM JORDAN (11-9)	NC 4A	86.3		W	7-	5		0.275
3/30	at Charlotte Cou Day (19-6)	NC Prvate	93.5	2	L	3-	12		0.000
4/04	at Charlotte Latin (11-7)	NC Prvate	90.8	3	L	1-	16		0.000
4/13	PROVIDENCE DAY (21-3)	NC Prvate	95.6	1	L	2-	9		-0.050
4/18	at Greensboro Day (5-13)	NC Prvate	78.3	10	W	7-	3		0.200
4/19	at Cary Academy (5-11)	NC Prvate	75.2		W	8-	2		0.125
4/24	at Cardinal Gibbons (17-4)	NC 3A/2A	90.9		W	5-	4	2ot	0.450
4/26	CHAPEL HILL (22-4)	NC 4A	95.2		L	3-	10		0.000
5/01	at Ravenscroft School (8-11)	NC Prvate	82.8	8	L	5-	14		-0.225
5/04	CARY ACADEMY (5-11)	NC Prvate	75.2		W	13-	7		0.025
5/08	at Ravenscroft School (8-11)	NC Prvate	82.8	8	W	8-	7		0.275
5/15	at Christ School (10-6)	NC Prvate	89.0	4	L	5-	10		-0.100
			89.0						0.87

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	H	Forsyth Cou Day	9-	3	6	0	+++	-1.66	6.13
3/17	H	Woodberry Forest	2-	8	-6	-4	–	-1.09		-2.19
3/20	A	Durham Riverside	2-	9	-7	-5	–	1.20		-2.37
3/23	H	Tatnall	5-	13	-8	-7		-1.11		-1.40
3/27	H	Durham Jordan	7-	5	2	-1	+	-1.20		2.52
3/30	A	Charlotte Cou Day	3-	12	-9	-11		1.66	1.62
4/04	A	Charlotte Latin	1-	16	-15	-10	––	1.66	-4.60
4/13	H	Providence Day	2-	9	-7	-8		-1.66	0.60
4/18	A	Greensboro Day	7-	3	4	2	+	1.66	2.33
4/19	A	Cary Academy	8-	2	6	5		1.66	0.75
4/24	A	Cardinal Gibbons	5-	4	1	-8	+++	1.20		8.59
4/26	H	Chapel Hill	3-	10	-7	-10	+	-1.20		2.50
5/01	A	Ravenscroft School	5-	14	-9	-1	–––	1.66	-7.61
5/04	H	Cary Academy	13-	7	6	9	–	-1.66	-2.56
5/08	A	Ravenscroft School	8-	7	1	-1	+	1.66	2.39
5/15	A	Christ School	5-	10	-5	-6		1.66	0.95
									0.00	7.65

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	A	Charlotte Latin	1-	16	5.00
10-goal correction: 0.31

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1326
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.55		Natl Power Rank	1326
Natl SOS Rating	87.31		Natl SOS Rank	255
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.87		Natl Quality Win Rank	280
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1541
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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