| Conference: Div I | Region: NY A Sec 11 | State: NY | Coach: Joe Ancona |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/24 | KINGS PARK (13-7) | NY B Sec 11 | 96.2 | 10 | W | 14- | 8 | | 0.375 |
3/28 | at Longwood (9-7) | NY A Sec 11 | 89.7 | | W | 6- | 5 | | 0.250 |
3/30 | at West Babylon (6-11) | NY A Sec 11 | 89.3 | | L | 8- | 9 | ot | -0.225 |
4/04 | at Lindenhurst (10-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 94.1 | | L | 6- | 11 | | -0.125 |
4/10 | SMITHTOWN WEST (15-4) | NY A Sec 11 | 97.8 | 4 | L | 5- | 17 | | -0.025 |
4/12 | COPIAGUE (3-14) | NY A Sec 11 | 84.7 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.025 |
4/16 | BELLPORT (10-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 88.5 | | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.175 |
4/18 | at Brentwood (0-16) | NY A Sec 11 | 82.6 | | W | 19- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/20 | at Deer Park (6-11) | NY A Sec 11 | 86.3 | | W | 14- | 6 | | 0.150 |
4/24 | at Patchogue-Medford (10-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 92.2 | | L | 6- | 11 | | -0.200 |
4/26 | at Commack (7-10) | NY A Sec 11 | 90.2 | | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.225 |
5/02 | MIDDLE COUNTRY (4-13) | NY A Sec 11 | 86.7 | | W | 10- | 6 | | 0.175 |
5/04 | at Sachem East (10-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 94.5 | | L | 4- | 16 | | -0.125 |
5/08 | CONNETQUOT (6-10) | NY A Sec 11 | 87.2 | | L | 6- | 13 | | -0.300 |
5/10 | SMITHTOWN EAST (16-4) | NY A Sec 11 | 97.7 | 6 | L | 3- | 14 | | -0.025 |
5/14 | WALT WHITMAN (4-13) | NY A Sec 11 | 85.5 | | W | 12- | 7 | | 0.100 |
5/16 | at West Islip (22-1) | NY A Sec 11 | 99.8 | 1 | L | 3- | 18 | | 0.000 |
| | 85.9 | | | | | | 0.00 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/24 | H | Kings Park | 14- | 8 | 6 | -5 | +++ | -0.83 | 10.62 | |
3/28 | A | Longwood | 6- | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 0.83 | 0.78 | |
3/30 | A | West Babylon | 8- | 9 | -1 | -1 | | 0.83 | -0.01 | |
4/04 | A | Lindenhurst | 6- | 11 | -5 | -5 | | 0.83 | -0.24 | |
4/10 | H | Smithtown West | 5- | 17 | -12 | -9 | – | -0.83 | -2.80 | |
4/12 | H | Copiague | 15- | 4 | 11 | 9 | + | -0.83 | 2.25 | |
4/16 | H | Bellport | 13- | 5 | 8 | 3 | ++ | -0.83 | 4.77 | |
4/18 | A | Brentwood | 19- | 3 | 16 | 12 | ++ | 0.83 | 4.20 | |
4/20 | A | Deer Park | 14- | 6 | 8 | 4 | ++ | 0.83 | 4.05 | |
4/24 | A | Patchogue-Medford | 6- | 11 | -5 | -2 | – | 0.83 | -3.01 | |
4/26 | A | Commack | 6- | 9 | -3 | -1 | | 0.83 | -1.97 | |
5/02 | H | Middle Country | 10- | 6 | 4 | 3 | | -0.83 | 0.94 | |
5/04 | A | Sachem East | 4- | 16 | -12 | -5 | ––– | 0.83 | -7.22 | |
5/08 | H | Connetquot | 6- | 13 | -7 | 2 | ––– | -0.83 | -9.46 | |
5/10 | H | Smithtown East | 3- | 14 | -11 | -9 | – | -0.83 | -2.02 | |
5/14 | H | Walt Whitman | 12- | 7 | 5 | 6 | | -0.83 | -1.21 | |
5/16 | A | West Islip | 3- | 18 | -15 | -15 | | 0.83 | 0.35 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/10 | H | Smithtown West | 5- | 17 | 2.00 |
4/12 | H | Copiague | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
4/18 | A | Brentwood | 19- | 3 | -4.20 |
5/04 | A | Sachem East | 4- | 16 | 2.00 |
5/10 | H | Smithtown East | 3- | 14 | 1.00 |
5/16 | A | West Islip | 3- | 18 | -0.35 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.03 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 90. | | Natl CCR Rank | 611 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 90.11 | | Natl Power Rank | 611 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 81.60 | | Natl SOS Rank | 715 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.00 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1278 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.47 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1408 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -13.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -8.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -7.0 |
|
