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East Aurora Blue Devils (18-3)

Region: NY C Sec 6

State: NY

Coach: Derek Hoover

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/30	HAMBURG (17-4)	NY B Sec 6	93.9	3	L	6-	11		-0.225
4/02	WILLIAMSVILLE EAST (9-10)	NY B Sec 6	84.9		W	8-	7		0.150
4/04	MEDINA (8-8)	NY C Sec 6	81.2		W	9-	2		0.075
4/19	AKRON (10-9)	NY C Sec 6	81.5		W	15-	9		0.100
4/20	at Eden (8-8)	NY C Sec 6	81.7		W	10-	5		0.150
4/23	SWEET HOME (11-9)	NY B Sec 6	88.0	10	L	7-	11		-0.325
4/24	at Silver Creek (1-13)	NY C Sec 6	71.2		W	20-	2		0.000
4/26	GOWANDA (7-13)	NY C Sec 6	79.3		W	14-	1		0.025
5/01	SALAMANCA (11-5)	NY C Sec 6	83.9		W	17-	2		0.050
5/02	at Akron (10-9)	NY C Sec 6	81.5		W	13-	9		0.175
5/04	SILVER CREEK (1-13)	NY C Sec 6	71.2		W	20-	1		0.000
5/07	at Medina (8-8)	NY C Sec 6	81.2		W	12-	6		0.150
5/08	at Salamanca (11-5)	NY C Sec 6	83.9		W	14-	7		0.125
5/10	EDEN (8-8)	NY C Sec 6	81.7		W	9-	3		0.075
5/14	at Gowanda (7-13)	NY C Sec 6	79.3		W	8-	7		0.075
5/17	at Iroquois (6-13)	NY B Sec 6	81.6		W	6-	5		0.150
5/21	at Williamsville South (4-13)	NY B Sec 6	79.3		W	7-	3		0.100
5/22	at West Seneca East (13-5)	NY B Sec 6	90.2	7	W	9-	5		0.300
5/30	AKRON (10-9)	NY C Sec 6	81.5		W	14-	5		0.100
6/01	vs. Salamanca # (11-5)	NY C Sec 6	83.9		W	9-	4		0.100
6/05	vs. Penn Yan # (16-7)	NY C Sec 5	96.2		L	0-	14		-0.125
# Neutral site			83.4						1.23

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/30	H	Hamburg	6-	11	-5	-1	–	-1.39	-3.51
4/02	H	Williamsville East	8-	7	1	4	–	-1.39	-3.31
4/04	H	Medina	9-	2	7	7		-1.39	0.22
4/19	H	Akron	15-	9	6	6		-1.39	-0.23
4/20	A	Eden	10-	5	5	4		1.39	1.01
4/23	H	Sweet Home	7-	11	-4	3	–––	-1.39	-7.15
4/24	A	Silver Creek	20-	2	18	16		1.39	1.62
4/26	H	Gowanda	14-	1	13	9	+	-1.39	3.61
5/01	H	Salamanca	17-	2	15	8	+++	-1.39	7.23
5/02	A	Akron	13-	9	4	3		1.39	0.55
5/04	H	Silver Creek	20-	1	19	19		-1.39	-0.16
5/07	A	Medina	12-	6	6	4	+	1.39	2.00
5/08	A	Salamanca	14-	7	7	5	+	1.39	2.01
5/10	H	Eden	9-	3	6	7		-1.39	-0.77
5/14	A	Gowanda	8-	7	1	7	––	1.39	-5.61
5/17	A	Iroquois	6-	5	1	4	–	1.39	-2.85
5/21	A	Williamsville South	7-	3	4	6		1.39	-1.65
5/22	A	West Seneca East	9-	5	4	-2	++	1.39	5.59
5/30	H	Akron	14-	5	9	6	+	-1.39	2.77
6/01	N	Salamanca	9-	4	5	6		0.00	-1.38
6/05	N	Penn Yan	0-	14	-14	-5	–––	0.00		-8.71
									0.00	-8.71

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/24	A	Silver Creek	20-	2	-1.62
4/26	H	Gowanda	14-	1	-3.00
5/01	H	Salamanca	17-	2	-5.00
5/04	H	Silver Creek	20-	1	0.16
6/05	N	Penn Yan	0-	14	4.00
10-goal correction: -0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	723
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.88		Natl Power Rank	723
Natl SOS Rating	76.30		Natl SOS Rank	1260
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.23		Natl Quality Win Rank	141
W-L Pct Rating	0.86		W-L Pct Rank	140
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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