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East Brunswick Bears (4-9)

Conference: GMC

Region: NJ Grp-IV

State: NJ

Coach: Matt Severino

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Old Bridge (11-8)	NJ Grp-IV	88.2		L	8-	9		-0.225
4/04	at St Joseph Metuchen (12-8)	NJ Grp-A	91.3		L	8-	12		-0.100
4/07	NORTH BRUNSWICK (11-8)	NJ Grp-III	88.5		L	3-	13		-0.250
4/10	at J.P. Stevens (2-17)	NJ Grp-IV	66.5		W	9-	2		0.000
4/12	EDISON (3-13)	NJ Grp-IV	76.2		W	7-	2		0.050
4/19	OLD BRIDGE (11-8)	NJ Grp-IV	88.2		L	3-	5		-0.275
4/24	ST JOSEPH METUCHEN (12-8)	NJ Grp-A	91.3		L	7-	9		-0.150
4/26	NORTH BRUNSWICK (11-8)	NJ Grp-III	88.5		L	6-	7		-0.250
5/01	J.P. STEVENS (2-17)	NJ Grp-IV	66.5		W	23-	3		0.000
5/03	at Edison (3-13)	NJ Grp-IV	76.2		W	12-	4		0.100
5/08	SOUTH BRUNSWICK (18-2)	NJ Grp-IV	94.3		L	14-	15		-0.075
5/10	at South Brunswick (18-2)	NJ Grp-IV	94.3		L	9-	15		-0.025
5/12	at Old Bridge (11-8)	NJ Grp-IV	88.2		L	6-	10		-0.225
			81.1						-1.42

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Old Bridge	8-	9	-1	-1		1.02	0.27
4/04	A	St Joseph Metuchen	8-	12	-4	-6	+	1.02	2.25
4/07	H	North Brunswick	3-	13	-10	0	–––	-1.02	10.12
4/10	A	J.P. Stevens	9-	2	7	11	–	1.02	-3.84
4/12	H	Edison	7-	2	5	8	–	-1.02	-2.95
4/19	H	Old Bridge	3-	5	-2	1	–	-1.02	-2.77
4/24	H	St Joseph Metuchen	7-	9	-2	-4	+	-1.02	2.20
4/26	H	North Brunswick	6-	7	-1	0		-1.02	-1.12
5/01	H	J.P. Stevens	23-	3	20	13	+++	-1.02	7.11
5/03	A	Edison	12-	4	8	6	+	1.02	2.10
5/08	H	South Brunswick	14-	15	-1	-7	+++	-1.02	6.28
5/10	A	South Brunswick	9-	15	-6	-9	+	1.02	3.32
5/12	A	Old Bridge	6-	10	-4	-1	–	1.02	-2.73
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	H	North Brunswick	3-	13	0.00
5/01	H	J.P. Stevens	23-	3	-7.11
10-goal correction: -0.55

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1059
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.71		Natl Power Rank	1059
Natl SOS Rating	72.30		Natl SOS Rank	1663
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.42		Natl Quality Win Rank	2721
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1967
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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