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Central Dauphin East Panthers (4-12)

Region: PA Mid 1

State: PA

Coach: D.J. Healey

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	NEW OXFORD (1-13)	PA York 1	67.3		W	11-	8		0.000
3/29	CONESTOGA VALLEY (12-11)	PA LL04	83.4	9	L	9-	19		-0.075
3/30	CUMBERLAND VALLEY (15-4)	PA Mid 1	88.8	4	L	6-	11		0.000
4/03	LOWER DAUPHIN (11-6)	PA Mid 1	81.4		L	6-	20		-0.125
4/06	PENN MANOR (10-9)	PA LL04	81.6		W	12-	7		0.350
4/12	at State College (9-7)	PA CSNLL	76.9		W	8-	1		0.275
4/14	at Palmyra (10-9)	PA Mid 1	81.3		L	9-	12		-0.075
4/19	CHAMBERSBURG (9-8)	PA Mid 1	80.3		L	4-	10		-0.150
4/21	at Cocalico (15-5)	PA LL04	85.1	7	L	8-	10		-0.075
4/25	at Hershey (12-6)	PA Mid 1	83.7	8	L	6-	12		-0.025
4/26	at Warwick (19-7)	PA LL04	88.2	5	L	5-	14		0.000
5/01	at Lewisburg (8-4)	PA CSNLL	78.6		L	3-	16		-0.150
5/03	CENTRAL DAUPHIN (4-12)	PA Mid 1	76.6		L	3-	5		-0.225
5/07	CARLISLE (13-5)	PA Mid 1	87.1	6	L	2-	13		-0.025
5/08	HARRISBURG ACADEMY (5-10)	PA Mid 1	78.0		L	5-	10		-0.225
5/16	at Bishop McDevitt (1-14)	PA Mid 1	69.8		W	9-	8	ot	0.150
			81.7						-0.37

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	New Oxford	11-	8	3	10	–––	-1.55	-7.21
3/29	H	Conestoga Valley	9-	19	-10	-7	–	-1.55	-2.79
3/30	H	Cumberland Valley	6-	11	-5	-11	++	-1.55	5.79
4/03	H	Lower Dauphin	6-	20	-14	-5	–––	-1.55	-8.99
4/06	H	Penn Manor	12-	7	5	-4	+++	-1.55	8.84
4/12	A	State College	8-	1	7	-1	+++	1.55	7.85
4/14	A	Palmyra	9-	12	-3	-7	++	1.55	4.31
4/19	H	Chambersburg	4-	10	-6	-4	–	-1.55	-2.42
4/21	A	Cocalico	8-	10	-2	-7	++	1.55	5.01
4/25	A	Hershey	6-	12	-6	-9	+	1.55	3.21
4/26	A	Warwick	5-	14	-9	-13	+	1.55	3.97
5/01	A	Lewisburg	3-	16	-13	-4	–––	1.55	-8.67
5/03	H	Central Dauphin	3-	5	-2	-1		-1.55	-0.82
5/07	H	Carlisle	2-	13	-11	-9		-1.55	-1.91
5/08	H	Harrisburg Academy	5-	10	-5	-1	–	-1.55	-3.66
5/16	A	Bishop McDevitt	9-	8	1	4	–	1.55	-2.53
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	Conestoga Valley	9-	19	0.00
4/03	H	Lower Dauphin	6-	20	4.00
5/01	A	Lewisburg	3-	16	3.00
5/07	H	Carlisle	2-	13	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.50

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2060
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.16		Natl Power Rank	2060
Natl SOS Rating	73.73		Natl SOS Rank	1526
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.37		Natl Quality Win Rank	1977
W-L Pct Rating	0.25		W-L Pct Rank	2130
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-11		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.0


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