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East Chapel Hill Wildcats (17-5)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Franklin Zirkle

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/28	MOUNT TABOR (9-9)	NC 4A	83.3		W	11-	4		0.050
3/03	at Wilmington Laney (5-7)	NC 4A	81.2		W	11-	1		0.050
3/03	at Wilmington New Hanover (1-11)	NC 4A	72.4		W	15-	4		0.000
3/06	WESTERN ALAMANCE (6-12)	NC 3A/2A	79.8		W	17-	4		0.000
3/09	APEX (15-5)	NC 4A	92.8	3	W	5-	4		0.275
3/13	at Cary HS (14-4)	NC 4A	90.2	9	W	9-	3		0.225
3/20	at Green Hope (8-9)	NC 4A	84.5		W	10-	9		0.175
3/23	DURHAM RIVERSIDE (11-8)	NC 4A	88.0		W	12-	3		0.175
3/28	at Northern Durham (5-12)	NC 4A	76.5		W	19-	4		0.000
3/30	at Durham Jordan (11-9)	NC 4A	86.3		W	8-	2		0.175
4/05	at Hun School (14-6)	NJ Private	93.0		L	5-	6		-0.200
4/07	vs. Floral Park # (12-5)	NY B Sec 8	95.7		L	12-	13		-0.175
4/10	at Ravenscroft School (8-11)	NC Prvate	83.7		W	19-	2		0.075
4/13	CHAPEL HILL (22-4)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	4-	6		-0.200
4/18	at Wakefield (9-9)	NC 4A	82.7		W	13-	12		0.100
4/20	NORTHERN DURHAM (5-12)	NC 4A	76.5		W	18-	5		0.000
4/24	at Durham Riverside (11-8)	NC 4A	88.0		W	7-	6	ot	0.225
4/27	DURHAM JORDAN (11-9)	NC 4A	86.3		W	18-	9		0.125
5/01	at Chapel Hill (22-4)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	7-	16		-0.150
5/03	at Greensboro Grimsley (10-8)	NC 4A	85.2		W	10-	6		0.150
5/08	WAKEFIELD (9-9)	NC 4A	82.7		W	10-	9		0.050
5/11	GREENSBORO PAGE (16-4)	NC 4A	91.3	7	L	8-	9	ot	-0.300
# Neutral site			87.3						0.82

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/28	H	Mount Tabor	11-	4	7	8		-0.74	-0.70
3/03	A	Wilmington Laney	11-	1	10	8	+	0.74	2.32
3/03	A	Wilmington New Hanover	15-	4	11	16	––	0.74	-4.58
3/06	H	Western Alamance	17-	4	13	10	+	-0.74	3.01
3/09	H	Apex	5-	4	1	-1		-0.74	1.66
3/13	A	Cary HS	9-	3	6	1	++	0.74	4.58
3/20	A	Green Hope	10-	9	1	3	–	0.74	-2.47
3/23	H	Durham Riverside	12-	3	9	3	+++	-0.74	6.08
3/28	A	Northern Durham	19-	4	15	12	+	0.74	3.48
3/30	A	Durham Jordan	8-	2	6	3	+	0.74	2.79
4/05	A	Hun School	5-	6	-1	-2		0.88		0.62
4/07	N	Floral Park	12-	13	-1	-3	+	0.00		2.40
4/10	A	Ravenscroft School	19-	2	17	7	+++	1.20		9.55
4/13	H	Chapel Hill	4-	6	-2	-2		-0.74	0.33
4/18	A	Wakefield	13-	12	1	6	––	0.74	-5.04
4/20	H	Northern Durham	18-	5	13	13		-0.74	0.00
4/24	A	Durham Riverside	7-	6	1	1		0.74	-0.44
4/27	H	Durham Jordan	18-	9	9	5	++	-0.74	4.31
5/01	A	Chapel Hill	7-	16	-9	-4	––	0.74	-5.19
5/03	A	Greensboro Grimsley	10-	6	4	4		0.74	-0.48
5/08	H	Wakefield	10-	9	1	8	–––	-0.74	-6.52
5/11	H	Greensboro Page	8-	9	-1	2	–	-0.74	-3.14
									0.00	12.57

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/03	A	Wilmington Laney	11-	1	0.00
3/03	A	Wilmington New Hanover	15-	4	4.58
3/06	H	Western Alamance	17-	4	-3.01
3/28	A	Northern Durham	19-	4	-3.48
4/10	A	Ravenscroft School	19-	2	-7.00
4/20	H	Northern Durham	18-	5	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	360
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.31		Natl Power Rank	360
Natl SOS Rating	83.61		Natl SOS Rank	514
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.82		Natl Quality Win Rank	388
W-L Pct Rating	0.77		W-L Pct Rank	335
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	11-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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