| Region: MN MSHSL-L | State: MN | Coach: Ryan Ward |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/14 | BLAKE (13-2) | MN MSHSL-C | 93.3 | 3 | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.200 |
4/17 | at Lakeville (6-8) | MN MSHSL-L | 87.4 | | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.100 |
4/19 | APPLE VALLEY (4-8) | MN MSHSL-L | 87.2 | | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.025 |
4/20 | WAYZATA (9-5) | MN MSHSL-C | 90.4 | 8 | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.375 |
4/24 | at Bloom Jefferson (8-6) | MN MSHSL-L | 90.3 | | W | 10- | 2 | | 0.175 |
4/26 | BLOOM KENNEDY (2-11) | MN MSHSL-L | 82.7 | | W | 13- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/01 | at Prior Lake (10-4) | MN MSHSL-L | 89.9 | | W | 10- | 7 | | 0.150 |
5/02 | at Rosemount (0-13) | MN MSHSL-3 | 78.1 | | W | 16- | 0 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | CENTENNIAL (5-7) | MN MSHSL-N | 89.0 | | W | 12- | 8 | | 0.125 |
5/08 | CHASKA (2-11) | MN MSHSL-L | 84.9 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/10 | EASTVIEW (10-7) | MN MSHSL-L | 90.4 | 10 | W | 8- | 3 | | 0.125 |
5/12 | at Eagan (8-6) | MN MSHSL-L | 89.4 | | W | 13- | 9 | | 0.150 |
5/16 | HOPKINS (3-11) | MN MSHSL-C | 85.0 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.000 |
5/17 | ARMSTRONG (8-6) | MN MSHSL-C | 89.3 | | W | 17- | 7 | | 0.075 |
5/18 | vs. Minnetonka # (10-4) | MN MSHSL-C | 91.8 | 6 | W | 10- | 8 | | 0.200 |
5/24 | vs. Osseo-Park Center # (14-2) | MN MSHSL-N | 92.2 | 5 | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.175 |
5/25 | vs. Benilde St. Margaret # (17-0) | MN MSHSL-N | 95.1 | 1 | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.225 |
| # Neutral site | | 87.7 | | | | | | 0.90 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/14 | H | Blake | 9- | 8 | 1 | 2 | | -1.24 | -0.64 | |
4/17 | A | Lakeville | 8- | 4 | 4 | 6 | | 1.24 | -1.60 | |
4/19 | H | Apple Valley | 13- | 5 | 8 | 9 | | -1.24 | -0.53 | |
4/20 | H | Wayzata | 6- | 7 | -1 | 5 | ––– | -1.24 | -6.02 | |
4/24 | A | Bloom Jefferson | 10- | 2 | 8 | 3 | ++ | 1.24 | 5.43 | |
4/26 | H | Bloom Kennedy | 13- | 1 | 12 | 14 | | -1.24 | -1.51 | |
5/01 | A | Prior Lake | 10- | 7 | 3 | 4 | | 1.24 | -1.11 | |
5/02 | A | Rosemount | 16- | 0 | 16 | 16 | | 1.24 | 0.30 | |
5/05 | H | Centennial | 12- | 8 | 4 | 5 | | -1.24 | -1.38 | |
5/08 | H | Chaska | 15- | 2 | 13 | 11 | | -1.24 | 1.85 | |
5/10 | H | Eastview | 8- | 3 | 5 | 5 | | -1.24 | 0.34 | |
5/12 | A | Eagan | 13- | 9 | 4 | 4 | | 1.24 | -0.46 | |
5/16 | H | Hopkins | 16- | 3 | 13 | 12 | | -1.24 | 0.92 | |
5/17 | H | Armstrong | 17- | 7 | 10 | 7 | + | -1.24 | 3.38 | |
5/18 | N | Minnetonka | 10- | 8 | 2 | 2 | | 0.00 | 0.10 | |
5/24 | N | Osseo-Park Center | 9- | 4 | 5 | 3 | | 0.00 | 1.50 | |
5/25 | N | Benilde St. Margaret | 7- | 9 | -2 | -1 | | 0.00 | -0.57 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/26 | H | Bloom Kennedy | 13- | 1 | 1.51 |
5/02 | A | Rosemount | 16- | 0 | -0.30 |
5/08 | H | Chaska | 15- | 2 | -1.85 |
5/16 | H | Hopkins | 16- | 3 | -0.92 |
5/17 | H | Armstrong | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.09 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 93. | | Natl CCR Rank | 300 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.54 | | Natl Power Rank | 300 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 84.61 | | Natl SOS Rank | 430 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.90 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 304 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.88 | | W-L Pct Rank | 96 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 15-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 0.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 5-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 2.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 9-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 3.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
| 
