| Region: VA Nationl | State: VA | Coach: Jason Jeffries |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/13 | at Madison (11-6) | VA Liberty | 91.0 | 9 | L | 5- | 15 | | 0.000 |
3/15 | at Hayfield (14-2) | VA Patriot | 93.1 | 4 | L | 1- | 19 | | 0.000 |
3/19 | THOS JEFFERSON (7-7) | VA Liberty | 88.0 | | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.100 |
3/23 | SOUTH COUNTY (7-5) | VA Patriot | 89.0 | | L | 3- | 14 | | -0.075 |
3/26 | at Falls Church (1-11) | VA Nationl | 71.7 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.100 |
3/29 | YORKTOWN (14-4) | VA Nationl | 92.0 | 7 | L | 4- | 17 | | -0.050 |
4/10 | OSBOURN (12-7) | VA Cedar | 84.2 | | L | 2- | 10 | | -0.250 |
4/13 | at Washington-Lee (4-10) | VA Nationl | 78.9 | | W | 5- | 2 | | 0.225 |
4/14 | at Centreville (4-9) | VA Concord | 83.8 | | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.325 |
4/14 | vs. T.C. Williams # (9-6) | VA Patriot | 87.1 | | L | 4- | 9 | | -0.150 |
4/23 | at J.E.B. Stuart (4-8) | VA Nationl | 79.1 | | W | 8- | 4 | | 0.250 |
4/27 | MOUNT VERNON (7-9) | VA Nationl | 83.1 | | L | 7- | 10 | | -0.300 |
5/01 | WAKEFIELD HS (0-13) | VA Nationl | 67.9 | | W | 12- | 0 | | 0.000 |
5/07 | J.E.B. STUART (4-8) | VA Nationl | 79.1 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.175 |
5/09 | vs. Yorktown # (14-4) | VA Nationl | 92.0 | 7 | L | 2- | 14 | | 0.000 |
5/15 | at Langley (12-4) | VA Liberty | 93.0 | 5 | L | 5- | 17 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 84.3 | | | | | | 0.15 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/13 | A | Madison | 5- | 15 | -10 | -11 | | 1.19 | 0.77 | |
3/15 | A | Hayfield | 1- | 19 | -18 | -11 | ––– | 1.19 | -6.91 | |
3/19 | H | Thos Jefferson | 5- | 12 | -7 | -6 | | -1.19 | -1.27 | |
3/23 | H | South County | 3- | 14 | -11 | -7 | –– | -1.19 | -4.24 | |
3/26 | A | Falls Church | 14- | 4 | 10 | 6 | ++ | 1.19 | 4.31 | |
3/29 | H | Yorktown | 4- | 17 | -13 | -8 | –– | -1.19 | -4.51 | |
4/10 | H | Osbourn | 2- | 10 | -8 | 0 | ––– | -1.44 | | -7.98 |
4/13 | A | Washington-Lee | 5- | 2 | 3 | 1 | + | 1.19 | 2.07 | |
4/14 | A | Centreville | 11- | 9 | 2 | -3 | ++ | 1.19 | 5.46 | |
4/14 | N | T.C. Williams | 4- | 9 | -5 | -4 | | 0.00 | -0.65 | |
4/23 | A | J.E.B. Stuart | 8- | 4 | 4 | 0 | + | 1.19 | 3.69 | |
4/27 | H | Mount Vernon | 7- | 10 | -3 | 2 | –– | -1.19 | -4.90 | |
5/01 | H | Wakefield HS | 12- | 0 | 12 | 11 | | -1.19 | 0.50 | |
5/07 | H | J.E.B. Stuart | 14- | 4 | 10 | 3 | +++ | -1.19 | 7.31 | |
5/09 | N | Yorktown | 2- | 14 | -12 | -10 | – | 0.00 | -2.32 | |
5/15 | A | Langley | 5- | 17 | -12 | -13 | | 1.19 | 0.69 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -7.98 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/13 | A | Madison | 5- | 15 | -0.77 |
3/15 | A | Hayfield | 1- | 19 | 6.91 |
3/23 | H | South County | 3- | 14 | 1.00 |
3/26 | A | Falls Church | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
3/29 | H | Yorktown | 4- | 17 | 3.00 |
5/01 | H | Wakefield HS | 12- | 0 | -0.50 |
5/07 | H | J.E.B. Stuart | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
5/09 | N | Yorktown | 2- | 14 | 2.00 |
5/15 | A | Langley | 5- | 17 | -0.69 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.68 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 83. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1506 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 82.73 | | Natl Power Rank | 1506 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 77.79 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1112 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.15 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1047 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.38 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1759 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -3.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -15.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -13.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -4.7 |
|
