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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Elmira Falcons (0-14)

Region: OR WillimState: ORCoach: Dawn Tollen

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/13OREGON CITY (1-15)OR Rivers74.7L4-10 -0.225  
3/16at West Salem (5-11)OR NorVal80.8L4-11 -0.075  
3/20at Roseburg (12-5)OR Willim87.2L4-10 0.000  
3/22MARIST (4-10)OR Willim77.4L0- 1 -0.225  
4/10at Sheldon (13-4)OR Willim89.69L0-11 0.000  
4/13CHURCHILL (15-4)OR Willim90.46L2-14 0.000  
4/17at Thurston (9-8)OR Willim84.9L1-13 0.000  
4/19NORTH EUGENE (4-11)OR Willim79.9L5-10 -0.150  
4/24ROSEBURG (12-5)OR Willim87.2L1-11 -0.025  
4/27at Marist (4-10)OR Willim77.4L2- 4 -0.175  
5/04SHELDON (13-4)OR Willim89.69L1-10 0.000  
5/08at Churchill (15-4)OR Willim90.46L0-14 0.000  
5/11THURSTON (9-8)OR Willim84.9L0-10 -0.050  
5/15at North Eugene (4-11)OR Willim79.9L1-14 -0.100  
 80.4     -1.02  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/13HOregon City4-10-6   -1       ––-1.02       -5.25
3/16AWest Salem4-11-7   -7       1.02       -0.40
3/20ARoseburg4-10-6   -11       ++1.02       4.98
4/10ASheldon0-11-11   -15       ++1.02       4.10
4/13HChurchill2-14-12   -15       +-1.02       2.65
4/17AThurston1-13-12   -10       1.02       -2.29
4/19HNorth Eugene5-10-5   -4       -1.02       -0.98
4/24HRoseburg1-11-10   -9       -1.02       -1.06
4/27AMarist2-4-2   -3       1.02       0.77
5/04HSheldon1-10-9   -13       ++-1.02       4.07
5/08AChurchill0-14-14   -17       +1.02       2.68
5/11HThurston0-10-10   -8       -1.02       -2.33
5/15ANorth Eugene1-14-13   -6       –––1.02       -6.94
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/10ASheldon0-11-4.10
4/13HChurchill2-14-2.65
4/17AThurston1-132.00
4/24HRoseburg1-110.00
5/08AChurchill0-14-2.68
5/11HThurston0-100.00
5/15ANorth Eugene1-143.00
10-goal correction: -0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 74.   Natl CCR Rank 2259
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 72.78   Natl Power Rank 2259
Natl SOS Rating 70.87   Natl SOS Rank 1827
Natl Quality Win Rating -1.02   Natl Quality Win Rank 2636
W-L Pct Rating 0.00   W-L Pct Rank 2660
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 0-14   Ave Goal diff (all ) -9.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -11.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -10.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -12.3



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