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El Toro Chargers (15-2)

Conference: D1Region: CA SeaviewState: CACoach: Greg Guy

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/03at Santa Margarita (6-12)CA Trinity76.4W16- 1 0.000  
3/09at Tesoro (7-8)CA Coast81.4W13- 0 0.000  
3/10at Serra (3-13)CA City81.5W17- 0 0.000  
3/14CAPISTRANO VALLEY (9-7)CA Coast83.4W16- 5 0.000  
3/17at Foothill-Santa Ana (19-2)CA Seaview96.81L9-10 -0.225  
3/21CORONA DEL MAR (12-7)CA Seaview89.45W8- 4 0.075  
3/22at Huntington Beach (5-11)CA Seaview79.1W14- 3 0.000  
3/28BECKMAN (9-7)CA Coast84.2W12- 5 0.000  
4/04at Trabuco Hills (0-13)CA Seaview68.9W17- 2 0.000  
4/09at Saint Margaret's (10-8)CA Trinity89.17W10- 8 0.175  
4/11at Corona Del Mar (12-7)CA Seaview89.45W14- 4 0.150  
4/13HUNTINGTON BEACH (5-11)CA Seaview79.1W16- 1 0.000  
4/20FOOTHILL-SANTA ANA (19-2)CA Seaview96.81W9- 8 0.225  
4/25TRABUCO HILLS (0-13)CA Seaview68.9W20- 0 0.000  
4/28CAPISTRANO VALLEY (9-7)CA Coast83.4W22- 2 0.000  
4/30SAINT MARGARET'S (10-8)CA Trinity89.17W13- 5 0.100  
5/02vs. Foothill-Santa Ana # (19-2)CA Seaview96.81L9-10 -0.250  
# Neutral site 86.7     0.25  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/03ASanta Margarita16-115   15       1.07       -0.40
3/09ATesoro13-013   12       1.07       1.06
3/10ASerra17-017   13       ++0.80       4.21
3/14HCapistrano Valley16-511   13       -1.07       -1.56
3/17AFoothill-Santa Ana9-10-1   -1       1.07       0.14
3/21HCorona Del Mar8-44   7       –-1.07       -2.58
3/22AHuntington Beach14-311   13       –1.07       -2.01
3/28HBeckman12-57   12       ––-1.07       -4.50
4/04ATrabuco Hills17-215   18       –1.07       -3.04
4/09ASaint Margaret's10-82   3       1.07       -1.37
4/11ACorona Del Mar14-410   4       ++1.07       5.55
4/13HHuntington Beach16-115   15       -1.07       -0.14
4/20HFoothill-Santa Ana9-81   1       -1.07       0.01
4/25HTrabuco Hills20-020   20       -1.07       -0.17
4/28HCapistrano Valley22-220   13       +++-1.07       7.44
4/30HSaint Margaret's13-58   6       +-1.07       2.50
5/02NFoothill-Santa Ana9-10-1   0       0.00       -0.93
         0.004.21

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/03ASanta Margarita16-10.40
3/09ATesoro13-0-1.06
3/10ASerra17-0-4.21
3/14HCapistrano Valley16-51.56
3/22AHuntington Beach14-32.01
4/04ATrabuco Hills17-23.04
4/11ACorona Del Mar14-40.00
4/13HHuntington Beach16-10.14
4/25HTrabuco Hills20-00.17
4/28HCapistrano Valley22-2-7.44
10-goal correction: -0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 96.   Natl CCR Rank 120
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 95.09   Natl Power Rank 120
Natl SOS Rating 83.08   Natl SOS Rank 557
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.25   Natl Quality Win Rank 869
W-L Pct Rating 0.88   W-L Pct Rank 93
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 9.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 3-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 2.6
Wins/Losses (top 10) 5-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 6.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 9.0



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