| Region: PA LL04 | State: PA | Coach: Mike Ream |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/29 | A | Elizabethtown | 10- | 8 | 2 | 3 | | 1.55 | -0.81 | |
3/31 | A | Susquehannock | 0- | 19 | -19 | -10 | ––– | 1.55 | -8.75 | |
4/05 | H | Hempfield | 6- | 16 | -10 | -11 | | -1.55 | 1.11 | |
4/10 | H | Lancaster Cou Day | 15- | 7 | 8 | 5 | + | -1.55 | 3.49 | |
4/14 | A | Hershey | 5- | 12 | -7 | -7 | | 1.55 | -0.13 | |
4/17 | A | Cocalico | 7- | 9 | -2 | -5 | + | 1.55 | 2.67 | |
4/19 | H | Central Dauphin | 11- | 9 | 2 | 1 | | -1.55 | 0.85 | |
4/21 | A | Dallastown | 8- | 2 | 6 | 2 | ++ | 1.55 | 4.04 | |
4/24 | H | Elizabethtown | 13- | 2 | 11 | 6 | ++ | -1.55 | 5.10 | |
4/26 | H | Penn Manor | 12- | 11 | 1 | -1 | + | -1.55 | 2.50 | |
4/27 | A | Manheim Township | 1- | 23 | -22 | -18 | –– | 1.55 | -4.20 | |
4/30 | A | Lampeter-Strasburg | 8- | 11 | -3 | -7 | + | 1.55 | 3.68 | |
5/01 | H | Warwick | 4- | 12 | -8 | -8 | | -1.55 | -0.47 | |
5/03 | A | Conestoga Valley | 10- | 15 | -5 | -8 | + | 1.55 | 2.97 | |
5/05 | H | Cocalico | 6- | 10 | -4 | -2 | – | -1.55 | -2.42 | |
5/07 | H | Garden Spot | 15- | 0 | 15 | 1 | +++ | -1.42 | | 14.18 |
5/08 | A | Penn Manor | 10- | 12 | -2 | -5 | + | 1.55 | 2.59 | |
5/11 | H | Red Lion | 11- | 16 | -5 | 1 | –– | -1.55 | -5.99 | |
5/15 | A | Lower Dauphin | 5- | 17 | -12 | -6 | ––– | 1.55 | -6.24 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 14.18 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/31 | A | Susquehannock | 0- | 19 | 9.00 |
4/05 | H | Hempfield | 6- | 16 | -1.11 |
4/24 | H | Elizabethtown | 13- | 2 | -1.00 |
4/27 | A | Manheim Township | 1- | 23 | 4.20 |
5/07 | H | Garden Spot | 15- | 0 | -5.00 |
5/15 | A | Lower Dauphin | 5- | 17 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.43 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 79. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1826 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 78.71 | | Natl Power Rank | 1826 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 75.20 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1372 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.25 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 841 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.37 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1774 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-12 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -14.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-8 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-12 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -6.3 |
| 
