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Episcopal Academy Churchmen (10-11)

Region: PA IAC

State: PA

Coach: Andy Hayes

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	vs. Gulliver Prep # (13-8)	FL Dist-1	89.1		L	6-	7		-0.325
3/26	at Pine Crest (9-12)	FL Dist-2	77.3		W	19-	2		0.000
3/27	at Saint Andrews (22-4)	FL Dist-3	96.0		W	6-	5		0.375
3/29	at Douglas (16-2)	FL SFIA-2	87.0		W	15-	4		0.150
3/31	at Lower Merion (11-9)	PA Centrl	90.8		L	6-	8		-0.325
4/07	CONESTOGA (18-5)	PA Centrl	96.4	5	W	8-	7		0.325
4/10	at Penn Charter (14-12)	PA IAC	94.5	10	L	6-	9		-0.150
4/13	at Haverford School (19-5)	PA IAC	98.9	2	L	5-	8		-0.025
4/14	ST JOSEPH'S PREP (18-9)	PA Cathol	92.9		W	10-	9		0.175
4/19	UPPER DUBLIN (12-6)	PA SubAmer	92.5		W	8-	2		0.175
4/21	vs. Downingtown West # (16-6)	PA Suburb	95.0	8	L	7-	9		-0.175
4/24	at Malvern Prep (17-5)	PA IAC	98.1	4	L	2-	8		-0.050
4/30	PENN CHARTER (14-12)	PA IAC	94.5	10	L	6-	7		-0.200
5/01	HAVERFORD SCHOOL (19-5)	PA IAC	98.9	2	L	4-	14		-0.100
5/02	FRIENDS CENTRAL (7-7)	PA Noeast	86.4		W	12-	1		0.000
5/05	at Germantown Academy (13-7)	PA IAC	95.0	9	L	5-	8		-0.150
5/11	MALVERN PREP (17-5)	PA IAC	98.1	4	L	6-	14		-0.125
5/15	at Chestnut Hill Academy (6-8)	PA IAC	85.5		W	10-	5		0.025
5/17	GERMANTOWN ACADEMY (13-7)	PA IAC	95.0	9	W	6-	5		0.300
5/18	at Hill School (7-7)	PA Indep	92.2		W	10-	9		0.275
5/22	ST JOSEPH'S PREP (18-9)	PA Cathol	92.9		L	9-	10		-0.325
# Neutral site			92.1						-0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	N	Gulliver Prep	6-	7	-1	3	––	0.00		-4.47
3/26	A	Pine Crest	19-	2	17	14	+	1.08		2.77
3/27	A	Saint Andrews	6-	5	1	-5	++	1.08		5.51
3/29	A	Douglas	15-	4	11	4	+++	1.29		6.72
3/31	A	Lower Merion	6-	8	-2	3	––	1.29	-5.21
4/07	H	Conestoga	8-	7	1	-3	+	-1.29	3.55
4/10	A	Penn Charter	6-	9	-3	-4		1.29	1.19
4/13	A	Haverford School	5-	8	-3	-9	++	1.29	5.56
4/14	H	St Joseph's Prep	10-	9	1	3		-1.29	-1.69
4/19	H	Upper Dublin	8-	2	6	3	+	-1.29	3.32
4/21	N	Downingtown West	7-	9	-2	-3		0.00	0.58
4/24	A	Malvern Prep	2-	8	-6	-8		1.29	1.56
4/30	H	Penn Charter	6-	7	-1	-2		-1.29	0.61
5/01	H	Haverford School	4-	14	-10	-6	––	-1.29	-4.03
5/02	H	Friends Central	12-	1	11	11		-1.29	-0.48
5/05	A	Germantown Academy	5-	8	-3	-4		1.29	1.50
5/11	H	Malvern Prep	6-	14	-8	-5	–	-1.29	-3.03
5/15	A	Chestnut Hill Academy	10-	5	5	9	––	1.29	-4.27
5/17	H	Germantown Academy	6-	5	1	-2	+	-1.29	2.91
5/18	A	Hill School	10-	9	1	-1		1.29	1.61
5/22	H	St Joseph's Prep	9-	10	-1	3	–	-1.29	-3.69
									0.00	10.53

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	A	Pine Crest	19-	2	-2.77
3/29	A	Douglas	15-	4	-1.00
5/01	H	Haverford School	4-	14	0.00
5/02	H	Friends Central	12-	1	0.48
10-goal correction: -0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	94.		Natl CCR Rank	265
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	92.57		Natl Power Rank	265
Natl SOS Rating	94.35		Natl SOS Rank	41
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1790
W-L Pct Rating	0.48		W-L Pct Rank	1363
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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