High School Computer Ratings

Essex Junction Hornets (13-5 - 1)

Region: VT 1 NVAC

State: VT

Coach: Dean Corkum

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/13	at Liverpool (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	93.7		L	9-	19		-0.200
4/14	at Baldwinsville (16-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.5		L	4-	21		-0.125
4/20	CHAMPLAIN VALLEY (9-5)	VT 1 NVAC	91.2	3	W	4-	3	ot	0.225
4/26	RUTLAND (6-9)	VT 1 MVLI	82.9	9	W	8-	4		0.025
4/28	at Mt Mansfield Union (4-12)	VT 1 NVAC	84.2	8	W	11-	5		0.150
5/02	at Bellows Free Academy (7-5)	VT 1 NVAC	89.2	4	W	8-	4		0.225
5/05	at Hanover (19-1)	NH 1	95.4		L	9-	12		-0.175
5/07	MIDDLEBURY UNION (9-8)	VT 1 NVAC	88.4	6	L	8-	9	ot	-0.300
5/09	at South Burlington (7-6)	VT 1 NVAC	89.0	5	W	9-	7		0.225
5/12	at Champlain Valley (9-5)	VT 1 NVAC	91.2	3	L	2-	6		-0.250
5/14	WOODSTOCK (12-3)	VT 1 MVLI	92.0	2	W	8-	7		0.225
5/16	MT MANSFIELD UNION (4-12)	VT 1 NVAC	84.2	8	W	8-	1		0.100
5/18	BELLOWS FREE ACADEMY (7-5)	VT 1 NVAC	89.2	4	W	6-	5	ot	0.200
5/21	SPAULDING (6-8)	VT 1 NVAC	80.9	10	W	10-	3		0.000
5/23	at Middlebury Union (9-8)	VT 1 NVAC	88.4	6	W	15-	9		0.225
5/25	SOUTH BURLINGTON (7-6)	VT 1 NVAC	89.0	5	T	11-	11		0.000
6/01	MT ANTHONY UNION (10-6)	VT 1 MVLI	87.7	7	W	9-	2		0.125
6/06	MT MANSFIELD UNION (4-12)	VT 1 NVAC	84.2	8	W	9-	2		0.100
6/08	vs. Champlain Valley # (9-5)	VT 1 NVAC	91.2	3	W	9-	4		1.250
# Neutral site			90.4						2.03

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/13	A	Liverpool	9-	19	-10	-2	–––	1.09		-8.50
4/14	A	Baldwinsville	4-	21	-17	-5	–––	1.09		-11.71
4/20	H	Champlain Valley	4-	3	1	1		-0.69	-0.03
4/26	H	Rutland	8-	4	4	9	––	-0.69	-5.15
4/28	A	Mt Mansfield Union	11-	5	6	4		0.69	1.69
5/02	A	Bellows Free Academy	8-	4	4	1	+	0.69	3.28
5/05	A	Hanover	9-	12	-3	-3		0.67		-0.13
5/07	H	Middlebury Union	8-	9	-1	2	–	-0.69	-3.25
5/09	A	South Burlington	9-	7	2	1		0.69	1.17
5/12	A	Champlain Valley	2-	6	-4	0	–	0.69	-3.65
5/14	H	Woodstock	8-	7	1	1		-0.69	-0.20
5/16	H	Mt Mansfield Union	8-	1	7	6		-0.69	1.31
5/18	H	Bellows Free Academy	6-	5	1	2		-0.69	-1.10
5/21	H	Spaulding	10-	3	7	12	––	-0.69	-5.42
5/23	A	Middlebury Union	15-	9	6	1	++	0.69	5.13
5/25	H	South Burlington	11-	11	0	2	–	-0.69	-2.22
6/01	H	Mt Anthony Union	9-	2	7	5	+	-0.69	2.49
6/06	H	Mt Mansfield Union	9-	2	7	6		-0.69	1.31
6/08	N	Champlain Valley	9-	4	5	0	++	0.00	4.66
									0.00	-20.34