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Phillips Exeter Big Red (10-6)

Region: NE East-1

State: NH

Coach: Eric Bergofsky

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	KENNEBUNK (13-5)	ME West-B	90.3		W	8-	1		0.075
4/07	CUSHING ACADEMY (4-12)	NE East-1	87.9		W	14-	3		0.000
4/11	at Avon Old Farms (12-3)	NE 1 West	97.0		L	4-	5		-0.200
4/14	at Portsmouth Abbey (10-5)	NE SEast-1	91.2		W	16-	5		0.075
4/18	at Pomfret (13-3)	NE East-1	96.2	5	L	6-	7	ot	-0.275
4/21	MOSES BROWN (6-5)	NE SEast-1	93.7		W	8-	4		0.075
4/25	PINGREE (13-3)	NE East-2	93.9		W	10-	1		0.050
4/28	LOOMIS CHAFFEE (11-5)	NE 1 West	96.2		W	5-	1		0.225
4/30	BREWSTER ACADEMY (13-1)	NE North	98.0	2	L	7-	10		-0.275
5/05	at Tabor Academy (7-7)	NE East-1	93.2		W	9-	3		0.150
5/07	THE GOVERNOR'S ACADEMY (15-2)	NE ISL	98.2	1	W	6-	5		0.250
5/09	at Kimball Union (9-5)	NE East-1	94.9	9	W	8-	3		0.200
5/12	NORTHFIELD MT HERMON (11-8)	NE 1 West	93.4		L	8-	9	ot	-0.350
5/19	at Deerfield (15-0)	NE 1 West	99.2		L	2-	12		-0.150
5/23	at Holderness (8-5)	NE East-1	94.8	10	W	8-	7	2ot	0.200
5/26	PHILLIPS ANDOVER (9-5)	NE East-1	95.6	8	L	5-	6		-0.325
			93.4						-0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	H	Kennebunk	8-	1	7	7		-1.06		-0.06
4/07	H	Cushing Academy	14-	3	11	10		-1.45	1.45
4/11	A	Avon Old Farms	4-	5	-1	-2		1.30		0.98
4/14	A	Portsmouth Abbey	16-	5	11	7	++	1.45	4.10
4/18	A	Pomfret	6-	7	-1	1		1.45	-1.54
4/21	H	Moses Brown	8-	4	4	7	–	-1.45	-2.64
4/25	H	Pingree	10-	1	9	8		-1.45	1.19
4/28	H	Loomis Chaffee	5-	1	4	1	+	-1.30		2.59
4/30	H	Brewster Academy	7-	10	-3	1	–	-1.45	-3.71
5/05	A	Tabor Academy	9-	3	6	4	+	1.45	2.37
5/07	H	The Governor's Academy	6-	5	1	0		-1.45	0.71
5/09	A	Kimball Union	8-	3	5	2	+	1.45	3.05
5/12	H	Northfield Mt Hermon	8-	9	-1	4	––	-1.30		-5.23
5/19	A	Deerfield	2-	12	-10	-4	––	1.30		-5.82
5/23	A	Holderness	8-	7	1	2		1.45	-1.05
5/26	H	Phillips Andover	5-	6	-1	3	–	-1.45	-3.92
									0.00	-7.55

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	H	Cushing Academy	14-	3	-1.45
4/14	A	Portsmouth Abbey	16-	5	-1.00
5/19	A	Deerfield	2-	12	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.15

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	92
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	96.32		Natl Power Rank	90
Natl SOS Rating	96.83		Natl SOS Rank	15
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	1851
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	826
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3


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