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Fairfield-Ludlowe Falcons (8-9)

Conference: FCIAC

Region: CT M

State: CT

Coach: Chris Parisi

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	at St Joseph-Trumbull (10-9)	CT S	90.0		W	9-	7		0.325
4/07	at Brookfield (6-11)	CT M	85.3		W	12-	4		0.175
4/10	STAMFORD (5-11)	CT L	83.4		W	11-	5		0.075
4/13	at Trinity Catholic (0-16)	CT S	72.5		W	18-	0		0.000
4/16	at Branford (19-4)	CT M	96.5	5	L	5-	11		0.000
4/19	RIDGEFIELD (8-10)	CT L	93.3		L	1-	12		-0.150
4/21	vs. St Joseph Central # (11-8)	MA 2	90.8		W	12-	5		0.275
4/25	DARIEN (19-3)	CT M	98.8	1	L	2-	15		0.000
4/27	BRIEN MCMAHON-NORWALK (15-4)	CT M	95.4	9	L	6-	9		-0.150
5/03	at Staples-Westport (6-10)	CT M	87.8		L	8-	10		-0.250
5/05	MASUK-MONROE (8-9)	CT M	87.7		W	10-	4		0.200
5/08	NEW CANAAN (16-6)	CT M	96.4	6	L	4-	14		-0.100
5/10	at Wilton (10-10)	CT M	93.5		L	1-	13		-0.075
5/17	at Westhill (3-13)	CT L	80.3		W	9-	1		0.100
5/18	NORWALK (11-7)	CT L	94.2		L	4-	11		-0.175
5/21	at Fairfield-Warde (4-12)	CT M	83.8		W	9-	6		0.175
6/02	at Conard-West Hartford (13-7)	CT M	92.4		L	3-	7		-0.150
# Neutral site			87.7						0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	A	St Joseph-Trumbull	9-	7	2	-3	++	1.70	5.12
4/07	A	Brookfield	12-	4	8	3	++	1.70	4.50
4/10	H	Stamford	11-	5	6	7		-1.70	-0.55
4/13	A	Trinity Catholic	18-	0	18	13	++	1.70	5.04
4/16	A	Branford	5-	11	-6	-10	+	1.70	3.71
4/19	H	Ridgefield	1-	12	-11	-4	–––	-1.70	-6.72
4/21	N	St Joseph Central	12-	5	7	-1	+++	0.00		7.72
4/25	H	Darien	2-	15	-13	-10	–	-1.70	-2.97
4/27	H	Brien McMahon-Norwalk	6-	9	-3	-4		-1.70	0.54
5/03	A	Staples-Westport	8-	10	-2	0		1.70	-1.80
5/05	H	Masuk-Monroe	10-	4	6	2	+	-1.70	3.88
5/08	H	New Canaan	4-	14	-10	-6	–	-1.70	-3.99
5/10	A	Wilton	1-	13	-12	-7	––	1.70	-5.05
5/17	A	Westhill	9-	1	8	6	+	1.70	2.41
5/18	H	Norwalk	4-	11	-7	-3	––	-1.70	-4.03
5/21	A	Fairfield-Warde	9-	6	3	3		1.70	0.06
6/02	A	Conard-West Hartford	3-	7	-4	-4		1.70	-0.17
									0.00	7.72

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/13	A	Trinity Catholic	18-	0	-5.04
4/19	H	Ridgefield	1-	12	1.00
4/25	H	Darien	2-	15	3.00
5/08	H	New Canaan	4-	14	0.00
5/10	A	Wilton	1-	13	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	702
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.04		Natl Power Rank	702
Natl SOS Rating	84.89		Natl SOS Rank	406
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	851
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1394
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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