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Fairport Red Raiders (10-8)

Region: NY A Sec 5

State: NY

Coach: Mike Torelli

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	vs. Webster Schroeder # (16-3)	NY A Sec 5	98.7	2	L	12-	13	+ot	-0.175
3/31	PENFIELD (9-8)	NY A Sec 5	94.5	10	W	9-	8	2ot	0.175
4/03	WEBSTER THOMAS (14-5)	NY A Sec 5	96.0	7	L	12-	13		-0.300
4/10	at Canandaigua (17-3)	NY A Sec 5	98.5	3	L	6-	7		-0.175
4/12	at Penn Yan (16-7)	NY C Sec 5	96.2	5	L	3-	6		-0.200
4/21	at Timon St Jude (9-10)	NY P Sec 6	87.0		W	10-	3		0.050
4/24	at Rush-Henrietta (9-8)	NY A Sec 5	94.9	9	W	11-	10		0.250
4/28	CORNING EAST (19-4)	NY C Sec 4	98.4		W	10-	3		0.275
5/01	IRONDEQUOIT (19-3)	NY A Sec 5	98.8	1	W	8-	7	ot	0.300
5/03	at Webster Schroeder (16-3)	NY A Sec 5	98.7	2	L	8-	10		-0.150
5/05	ORCHARD PARK (16-5)	NY A Sec 6	97.3		W	10-	8		0.250
5/10	at Penfield (9-8)	NY A Sec 5	94.5	10	W	13-	9		0.225
5/12	RUSH-HENRIETTA (9-8)	NY A Sec 5	94.9	9	L	7-	8		-0.325
5/15	PITTSFORD (5-10)	NY A Sec 5	93.4		W	15-	8		0.150
5/17	at Irondequoit (19-3)	NY A Sec 5	98.8	1	L	5-	12		-0.125
5/19	PITTSFORD (5-10)	NY A Sec 5	93.4		W	11-	8		0.150
5/22	SPENCERPORT (5-12)	NY A Sec 5	84.6		W	16-	3		0.000
5/25	WEBSTER THOMAS (14-5)	NY A Sec 5	96.0	7	L	10-	11		-0.300
# Neutral site			94.5						0.07

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	N	Webster Schroeder	12-	13	-1	-3		0.00	2.00
3/31	H	Penfield	9-	8	1	3	–	-1.12	-2.35
4/03	H	Webster Thomas	12-	13	-1	2	–	-1.12	-3.08
4/10	A	Canandaigua	6-	7	-1	-3	+	1.12	2.49
4/12	A	Penn Yan	3-	6	-3	-2		1.12	-0.69
4/21	A	Timon St Jude	10-	3	7	8		1.26		-0.87
4/24	A	Rush-Henrietta	11-	10	1	0		1.12	0.55
4/28	H	Corning East	10-	3	7	-1	+++	-1.00		8.32
5/01	H	Irondequoit	8-	7	1	-2	+	-1.12	3.32
5/03	A	Webster Schroeder	8-	10	-2	-4	+	1.12	2.12
5/05	H	Orchard Park	10-	8	2	0		-1.26		1.97
5/10	A	Penfield	13-	9	4	1	+	1.12	2.89
5/12	H	Rush-Henrietta	7-	8	-1	3	–	-1.12	-3.69
5/15	H	Pittsford	15-	8	7	4	+	-1.12	3.44
5/17	A	Irondequoit	5-	12	-7	-5	–	1.12	-2.44
5/19	H	Pittsford	11-	8	3	4		-1.12	-0.56
5/22	H	Spencerport	16-	3	13	14		-1.12	-0.90
5/25	H	Webster Thomas	10-	11	-1	2	–	-1.12	-3.08
									0.00	9.42

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/22	H	Spencerport	16-	3	0.90
10-goal correction: 0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	86
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	96.12		Natl Power Rank	84
Natl SOS Rating	99.40		Natl SOS Rank	3
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.07		Natl Quality Win Rank	1180
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	1067
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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