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Fairport Red Raiders (10-8)

Region: NY A Sec 5State: NYCoach: Mike Torelli

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Inside the Ratings & Rankings, Northeast, 3/30 to 4/03

This week's Inside the Ratings and Rankings for the Northeast region features looks at how the teams from St. Joseph's Prep (PA), Lampeter-Strasburg (PA), West Genesee (NY), and Fairport (NY) are faring.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/24vs. Webster Schroeder # (16-3)NY A Sec 598.72L12-13+ot-0.175  
3/31PENFIELD (9-8)NY A Sec 594.510W9- 82ot0.175  
4/03WEBSTER THOMAS (14-5)NY A Sec 596.07L12-13 -0.300  
4/10at Canandaigua (17-3)NY A Sec 598.53L6- 7 -0.175  
4/12at Penn Yan (16-7)NY C Sec 596.25L3- 6 -0.200  
4/21at Timon St Jude (9-10)NY P Sec 687.0W10- 3 0.050  
4/24at Rush-Henrietta (9-8)NY A Sec 594.99W11-10 0.250  
4/28CORNING EAST (19-4)NY C Sec 498.4W10- 3 0.275  
5/01IRONDEQUOIT (19-3)NY A Sec 598.81W8- 7ot0.300  
5/03at Webster Schroeder (16-3)NY A Sec 598.72L8-10 -0.150  
5/05ORCHARD PARK (16-5)NY A Sec 697.3W10- 8 0.250  
5/10at Penfield (9-8)NY A Sec 594.510W13- 9 0.225  
5/12RUSH-HENRIETTA (9-8)NY A Sec 594.99L7- 8 -0.325  
5/15PITTSFORD (5-10)NY A Sec 593.4W15- 8 0.150  
5/17at Irondequoit (19-3)NY A Sec 598.81L5-12 -0.125  
5/19PITTSFORD (5-10)NY A Sec 593.4W11- 8 0.150  
5/22SPENCERPORT (5-12)NY A Sec 584.6W16- 3 0.000  
5/25WEBSTER THOMAS (14-5)NY A Sec 596.07L10-11 -0.300  
# Neutral site 94.5     0.07  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/24NWebster Schroeder12-13-1   -3       0.00       2.00
3/31HPenfield9-81   3       –-1.12       -2.35
4/03HWebster Thomas12-13-1   2       –-1.12       -3.08
4/10ACanandaigua6-7-1   -3       +1.12       2.49
4/12APenn Yan3-6-3   -2       1.12       -0.69
4/21ATimon St Jude10-37   8       1.26       -0.87
4/24ARush-Henrietta11-101   0       1.12       0.55
4/28HCorning East10-37   -1       +++-1.00       8.32
5/01HIrondequoit8-71   -2       +-1.12       3.32
5/03AWebster Schroeder8-10-2   -4       +1.12       2.12
5/05HOrchard Park10-82   0       -1.26       1.97
5/10APenfield13-94   1       +1.12       2.89
5/12HRush-Henrietta7-8-1   3       –-1.12       -3.69
5/15HPittsford15-87   4       +-1.12       3.44
5/17AIrondequoit5-12-7   -5       –1.12       -2.44
5/19HPittsford11-83   4       -1.12       -0.56
5/22HSpencerport16-313   14       -1.12       -0.90
5/25HWebster Thomas10-11-1   2       –-1.12       -3.08
         0.009.42

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
5/22HSpencerport16-30.90
10-goal correction: 0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 97.   Natl CCR Rank 86
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 96.12   Natl Power Rank 84
Natl SOS Rating 99.40   Natl SOS Rank 3
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.07   Natl Quality Win Rank 1180
W-L Pct Rating 0.56   W-L Pct Rank 1067
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-8   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -0.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 5.0



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