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Fallston Cougars (17-2)

Region: MD 32 North

State: MD

Coach: Matt Parks

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	at Friends (0-13)	MD A MIAA	82.4		W	18-	10		0.000
3/28	at Franklin (6-7)	MD 32 North	85.7		W	11-	3		0.150
3/30	at Bel Air (10-5)	MD 32 North	88.7		W	9-	6		0.150
4/07	OUR LADY-GOOD COUNSEL (11-8)	DC WCAC	91.3		W	5-	3		0.175
4/07	ARCHBISHOP CURLEY (17-1)	MD B MIAA	93.9		W	10-	8		0.225
4/09	vs. Westminster # (12-6)	MD 43 North	89.1		W	9-	5		0.125
4/13	CM WRIGHT (6-10)	MD 43 South	83.3		W	14-	3		0.025
4/18	at North Harford (7-9)	MD 32 North	84.9		W	14-	4		0.075
4/20	BEL AIR (10-5)	MD 32 North	88.7		W	8-	5		0.100
4/23	at Hammond (7-7)	MD 32 South	82.6		W	15-	2		0.025
4/25	at CM Wright (6-10)	MD 43 South	83.3		W	12-	2		0.050
4/27	at North Harford (7-9)	MD 32 North	84.9		W	13-	0		0.075
4/30	at Francis Scott Key (4-12)	MD 21 West	82.0		W	9-	7		0.050
5/07	at Hereford (12-3)	MD 32 North	92.4	5	L	3-	9		-0.225
5/12	TOWSON (9-4)	MD 32 North	89.2		W	8-	6		0.125
5/14	LANSDOWNE (14-3)	MD 32 North	82.0		W	15-	3		0.000
5/17	CATONSVILLE (13-4)	MD 32 North	91.5	10	W	10-	5		0.175
5/18	vs. NorthEast AA # (10-6)	MD 32 East	88.4		W	9-	3		0.125
5/23	vs. Glenelg HS # (15-3)	MD 32 South	92.3	8	L	3-	6		-0.300
# Neutral site			86.5						1.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	A	Friends	18-	10	8	10	–	1.03		-2.05
3/28	A	Franklin	11-	3	8	4	+	0.72	3.67
3/30	A	Bel Air	9-	6	3	4		0.72	-1.14
4/07	H	Our Lady-Good Counsel	5-	3	2	3		-1.10		-1.30
4/07	H	Archbishop Curley	10-	8	2	1		-1.08		1.29
4/09	N	Westminster	9-	5	4	5		0.00	-0.65
4/13	H	CM Wright	14-	3	11	9		-0.72	1.64
4/18	A	North Harford	14-	4	10	7	+	0.72	2.85
4/20	H	Bel Air	8-	5	3	6	–	-0.72	-2.58
4/23	A	Hammond	15-	2	13	9	+	0.72	3.51
4/25	A	CM Wright	12-	2	10	8	+	0.72	2.09
4/27	A	North Harford	13-	0	13	7	++	0.72	5.85
4/30	A	Francis Scott Key	9-	7	2	8	––	0.72	-5.82
5/07	A	Hereford	3-	9	-6	-1	––	0.72	-5.49
5/12	H	Towson	8-	6	2	5	–	-0.72	-2.52
5/14	H	Lansdowne	15-	3	12	12		-0.72	0.09
5/17	H	Catonsville	10-	5	5	3	+	-0.72	2.41
5/18	N	NorthEast AA	9-	3	6	5		0.00	1.30
5/23	N	Glenelg HS	3-	6	-3	2	––	0.00	-5.22
									0.00	-2.06

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/13	H	CM Wright	14-	3	-1.00
4/18	A	North Harford	14-	4	0.00
4/23	A	Hammond	15-	2	-3.00
4/25	A	CM Wright	12-	2	0.00
4/27	A	North Harford	13-	0	-3.00
5/14	H	Lansdowne	15-	3	-0.09
10-goal correction: -0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	93.		Natl CCR Rank	344
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.53		Natl Power Rank	344
Natl SOS Rating	82.36		Natl SOS Rank	623
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	167
W-L Pct Rating	0.89		W-L Pct Rank	78
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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