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Falls Church Jaguars (1-11)

Region: VA Nationl

State: VA

Coach: Geoff Young

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	STONE BRIDGE (4-9)	VA Liberty	82.1		L	2-	12		-0.100
3/19	at Centreville (4-9)	VA Concord	83.8		L	7-	16		0.000
3/21	at Dominion HS (7-9)	VA Dulles	77.0		L	8-	15		-0.075
3/23	at T.C. Williams (9-6)	VA Patriot	87.1		L	1-	15		0.000
3/26	EDISON (6-10)	VA Nationl	82.7		L	4-	14		-0.100
3/30	at Mount Vernon (7-9)	VA Nationl	83.1		L	5-	7		-0.075
4/13	J.E.B. STUART (4-8)	VA Nationl	79.1		L	8-	15		-0.150
4/19	WAKEFIELD HS (0-13)	VA Nationl	67.9		W	14-	10		0.125
4/23	MARSHALL (2-10)	VA Liberty	78.9		L	6-	9		-0.175
4/26	YORKTOWN (14-4)	VA Nationl	92.0	7	L	5-	16		0.000
5/01	WASHINGTON-LEE (4-10)	VA Nationl	78.9		L	6-	10		-0.150
5/07	at Mount Vernon (7-9)	VA Nationl	83.1		L	9-	14		-0.075
			80.6						-0.78

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	Stone Bridge	2-	12	-10	-6	––	-1.19	-4.16
3/19	A	Centreville	7-	16	-9	-10		1.19	1.35
3/21	A	Dominion HS	8-	15	-7	-7		1.56		-0.20
3/23	A	T.C. Williams	1-	15	-14	-12		1.19	-1.57
3/26	H	Edison	4-	14	-10	-6	––	-1.19	-4.31
3/30	A	Mount Vernon	5-	7	-2	-7	++	1.19	5.36
4/13	H	J.E.B. Stuart	8-	15	-7	-4	–	-1.19	-2.80
4/19	H	Wakefield HS	14-	10	4	5		-1.19	-0.61
4/23	H	Marshall	6-	9	-3	-3		-1.19	0.43
4/26	H	Yorktown	5-	16	-11	-15	++	-1.19	4.37
5/01	H	Washington-Lee	6-	10	-4	-4		-1.19	-0.43
5/07	A	Mount Vernon	9-	14	-5	-7	+	1.19	2.36
									0.00	-0.20

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	H	Stone Bridge	2-	12	0.00
3/23	A	T.C. Williams	1-	15	1.57
3/26	H	Edison	4-	14	0.00
4/26	H	Yorktown	5-	16	-4.37
10-goal correction: -0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	2318
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.74		Natl Power Rank	2318
Natl SOS Rating	70.96		Natl SOS Rank	1815
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.78		Natl Quality Win Rank	2516
W-L Pct Rating	0.08		W-L Pct Rank	2474
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.7


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