| Conference: SCIAC | Region: CT L | State: CT | Coach: Chris Smalkais |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/04 | MAMARONECK (13-7) | NY A Sec 1 | 93.9 | | W | 14- | 6 | | 0.100 |
4/07 | WILTON (10-10) | CT M | 93.5 | | W | 10- | 2 | | 0.075 |
4/12 | at Greenwich HS (18-4) | CT L | 97.0 | 3 | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.250 |
4/13 | OSWEGO (12-7) | NY A Sec 3 | 95.4 | | L | 9- | 10 | ot | -0.375 |
4/19 | at Xavier (5-11) | CT L | 85.8 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/23 | at Norwalk (11-7) | CT L | 94.2 | | W | 13- | 8 | | 0.150 |
4/26 | BRANFORD (19-4) | CT M | 96.5 | 5 | W | 17- | 10 | | 0.150 |
4/28 | CHAMINADE (14-3) | NY Cath | 99.2 | | W | 6- | 4 | | 0.225 |
5/01 | at Daniel Hand-Madison (7-11) | CT M | 91.6 | | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.125 |
5/03 | HAMDEN (8-10) | CT L | 87.6 | | W | 19- | 8 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | NEW CANAAN (16-6) | CT M | 96.4 | 6 | L | 4- | 6 | | -0.350 |
5/08 | at Cheshire HS (15-5) | CT L | 95.4 | 10 | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.175 |
5/10 | at Amity Regional (14-5) | CT L | 94.6 | | W | 16- | 9 | | 0.125 |
5/15 | GUILFORD (11-8) | CT M | 91.5 | | W | 10- | 2 | | 0.025 |
5/17 | DARIEN (19-3) | CT M | 98.8 | 1 | L | 4- | 12 | | -0.250 |
5/22 | GLASTONBURY (12-8) | CT L | 94.2 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.075 |
5/23 | HAMDEN (8-10) | CT L | 87.6 | | W | 21- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/29 | vs. Amity Regional # (14-5) | CT L | 94.6 | | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.100 |
5/31 | at Branford (19-4) | CT M | 96.5 | 5 | W | 18- | 11 | | 0.225 |
6/06 | TRUMBULL (10-9) | CT L | 91.1 | | W | 18- | 5 | | 0.000 |
6/07 | vs. Simsbury # (16-5) | CT L | 94.9 | | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.100 |
6/09 | vs. Greenwich HS # (18-4) | CT L | 97.0 | 3 | W | 10- | 9 | | 1.200 |
| # Neutral site | | 91.6 | | | | | | 2.12 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/04 | H | Mamaroneck | 14- | 6 | 8 | 6 | + | -1.43 | | 2.15 |
4/07 | H | Wilton | 10- | 2 | 8 | 7 | | -1.70 | 1.13 | |
4/12 | A | Greenwich HS | 12- | 6 | 6 | 0 | ++ | 1.70 | 5.76 | |
4/13 | H | Oswego | 9- | 10 | -1 | 5 | –– | -1.59 | | -5.57 |
4/19 | A | Xavier | 15- | 2 | 13 | 12 | | 1.70 | 0.84 | |
4/23 | A | Norwalk | 13- | 8 | 5 | 4 | | 1.70 | 0.93 | |
4/26 | H | Branford | 17- | 10 | 7 | 4 | + | -1.70 | 2.89 | |
4/28 | H | Chaminade | 6- | 4 | 2 | 1 | | -1.52 | | 1.38 |
5/01 | A | Daniel Hand-Madison | 11- | 7 | 4 | 5 | | 1.70 | -0.75 | |
5/03 | H | Hamden | 19- | 8 | 11 | 14 | – | -1.70 | -3.45 | |
5/05 | H | New Canaan | 4- | 6 | -2 | 4 | ––– | -1.70 | -6.42 | |
5/08 | A | Cheshire HS | 11- | 7 | 4 | 3 | | 1.70 | 1.17 | |
5/10 | A | Amity Regional | 16- | 9 | 7 | 5 | + | 1.70 | 2.36 | |
5/15 | H | Guilford | 10- | 2 | 8 | 9 | | -1.70 | -1.04 | |
5/17 | H | Darien | 4- | 12 | -8 | 0 | ––– | -1.70 | -8.41 | |
5/22 | H | Glastonbury | 9- | 8 | 1 | 7 | ––– | -1.70 | -6.30 | |
5/23 | H | Hamden | 21- | 2 | 19 | 14 | ++ | -1.70 | 4.55 | |
5/29 | N | Amity Regional | 16- | 5 | 11 | 6 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.66 | |
5/31 | A | Branford | 18- | 11 | 7 | 1 | +++ | 1.70 | 6.28 | |
6/06 | H | Trumbull | 18- | 5 | 13 | 12 | | -1.70 | 1.40 | |
6/07 | N | Simsbury | 10- | 9 | 1 | 6 | –– | 0.00 | -4.65 | |
6/09 | N | Greenwich HS | 10- | 9 | 1 | 2 | | 0.00 | -0.94 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -2.04 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/19 | A | Xavier | 15- | 2 | -0.84 |
5/03 | H | Hamden | 19- | 8 | 3.45 |
5/23 | H | Hamden | 21- | 2 | -4.55 |
5/29 | N | Amity Regional | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
6/06 | H | Trumbull | 18- | 5 | -1.40 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.20 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 194. | | Natl CCR Rank | 42 |
| Natl Poll Vote | 96. | | Natl Poll Rank | 36 |
| Natl Power Rating | 98.34 | | Natl Power Rank | 47 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 93.15 | | Natl SOS Rank | 57 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 2.12 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 30 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.86 | | W-L Pct Rank | 126 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 19-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 5-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 2.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 12-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 3.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 5.0 |
| 
