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Farmington Indians (9-9)

Conference: Indep

Region: CT M

State: CT

Coach: Walt Stefanow

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	at South Windsor (1-15)	CT L	79.1		W	11-	4		0.200
4/09	EAST CATHOLIC (7-10)	CT S	78.5		W	15-	3		0.000
4/14	at New Fairfield (16-5)	CT S	95.5	8	L	4-	17		0.000
4/23	at Northwest Catholic (14-5)	CT S	90.6		L	5-	13		-0.100
4/24	at Suffield HS (12-6)	CT S	87.5		W	10-	7		0.325
4/26	at Ellington (7-10)	CT S	81.0		W	8-	7		0.175
4/28	at Brookfield (6-11)	CT M	85.3		W	15-	11		0.275
4/30	at Hall-West Hartford (7-11)	CT M	87.5		L	2-	7		-0.125
5/04	TOLLAND (9-9)	CT S	84.4		W	6-	3		0.175
5/07	at Windsor (4-12)	CT M	82.7		W	9-	8		0.250
5/08	GRANBY (8-10)	CT S	81.4		L	9-	11		-0.375
5/10	WILBUR CROSS (1-12)	CT L	68.3		W	14-	1		0.000
5/12	at Avon HS (12-8)	CT S	89.1		L	7-	9		-0.125
5/15	SOMERS (17-3)	CT S	93.6		L	6-	14		-0.100
5/23	at East Catholic (7-10)	CT S	78.5		W	10-	4		0.100
5/25	OLD LYME (12-3)	CT S	88.1		L	11-	17		-0.250
5/30	at Northwest Catholic (14-5)	CT S	90.6		L	5-	9		-0.100
6/02	at Guilford (11-8)	CT M	91.5		L	8-	17		-0.025
			82.3						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	A	South Windsor	11-	4	7	2	++	1.70	4.94
4/09	H	East Catholic	15-	3	12	10	+	-1.70	2.35
4/14	A	New Fairfield	4-	17	-13	-13		1.70	0.16
4/23	A	Northwest Catholic	5-	13	-8	-6	–	1.70	-2.12
4/24	A	Suffield HS	10-	7	3	-3	++	1.70	5.86
4/26	A	Ellington	8-	7	1	3		1.70	-1.67
4/28	A	Brookfield	15-	11	4	-1	++	1.70	4.98
4/30	A	Hall-West Hartford	2-	7	-5	-5		1.70	-0.19
5/04	H	Tolland	6-	3	3	3		-1.70	-0.43
5/07	A	Windsor	9-	8	1	0		1.70	0.66
5/08	H	Granby	9-	11	-2	5	–––	-1.70	-7.05
5/10	H	Wilbur Cross	14-	1	13	17	––	-1.70	-4.45
5/12	A	Avon HS	7-	9	-2	-5	+	1.70	3.30
5/15	H	Somers	6-	14	-8	-6	–	-1.70	-2.27
5/23	A	East Catholic	10-	4	6	6		1.70	-0.25
5/25	H	Old Lyme	11-	17	-6	0	––	-1.70	-5.95
5/30	A	Northwest Catholic	5-	9	-4	-6		1.70	1.88
6/02	A	Guilford	8-	17	-9	-9		1.70	0.26
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	H	East Catholic	15-	3	-2.35
4/14	A	New Fairfield	4-	17	-0.16
5/10	H	Wilbur Cross	14-	1	4.45
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1154
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.98		Natl Power Rank	1154
Natl SOS Rating	74.23		Natl SOS Rank	1465
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	815
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1240
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.3


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