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Farmington Hills Flyers (9-12)

Region: MI 1

State: MI

Coach: Mike Cahill

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	GROSSE POINTE SOUTH (15-6)	MI 2	88.9		L	6-	11		-0.150
3/27	at Univ Detroit Jesuit (7-15)	MI 1	87.9		L	3-	16		-0.050
3/29	at Walled Lake Northern (5-13)	MI 1	79.9		W	14-	6		0.125
3/31	CRANBROOK (14-6)	MI 2	91.9	6	L	4-	14		-0.050
4/02	at Troy (4-14)	MI 1	81.6		W	9-	8		0.225
4/03	FLINT POWERS (16-4)	MI 2	88.7		L	3-	11		-0.200
4/19	BLOOMFIELD HILLS (8-8)	MI 1	86.4		W	11-	9		0.275
4/23	at Clarkston (11-9)	MI 1	83.2		W	8-	3		0.275
4/27	DETROIT CATHOLIC CENT (13-6)	MI 1	92.9	5	L	5-	13		0.000
4/30	TROY ATHENS (17-4)	MI 1	94.2	3	L	3-	13		0.000
5/02	at Royal Oak (2-12)	MI 1	77.5		W	9-	2		0.100
5/05	at De La Salle (11-6)	MI 2	90.2	8	L	4-	17		-0.025
5/07	at Rochester (9-8)	MI 1	82.6		L	8-	9	ot	-0.275
5/10	at Ann Arbor Huron (6-7)	MI 1	87.5		L	4-	8		-0.125
5/12	PLYMOUTH CANTON-SALEM (9-10)	MI 1	83.9		L	2-	7		-0.300
5/16	OL ST MARY'S (3-13)	MI 2	82.6		W	7-	6	2ot	0.225
5/17	NORTHVILLE (11-5)	MI 1	87.8		W	9-	6		0.275
5/19	at Waterford (8-8)	MI 1	81.5		L	6-	9		-0.300
5/22	at Utica Eisenhower (10-7)	MI 1	84.2		W	13-	12	ot	0.275
5/30	vs. Bloomfield Hills # (8-8)	MI 1	86.4		W	7-	4		0.325
6/01	vs. Brother Rice # (22-1)	MI 1	98.2	1	L	0-	15		0.000
# Neutral site			83.9						0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Grosse Pointe South	6-	11	-5	-4		-1.67	-1.20
3/27	A	Univ Detroit Jesuit	3-	16	-13	-8	––	1.67	-5.21
3/29	A	Walled Lake Northern	14-	6	8	5	+	1.67	2.99
3/31	H	Cranbrook	4-	14	-10	-8	–	-1.67	-2.30
4/02	A	Troy	9-	8	1	1		1.67	0.20
4/03	H	Flint Powers	3-	11	-8	-2	–––	-1.67	-6.03
4/19	H	Bloomfield Hills	11-	9	2	-1	+	-1.67	3.45
4/23	A	Clarkston	8-	3	5	-1	++	1.67	5.52
4/27	H	Detroit Catholic Cent	5-	13	-8	-10	+	-1.67	2.21
4/30	H	Troy Athens	3-	13	-10	-10		-1.67	0.44
5/02	A	Royal Oak	9-	2	7	6		1.67	1.06
5/05	A	De La Salle	4-	17	-13	-9	–	1.67	-3.79
5/07	A	Rochester	8-	9	-1	1		1.67	-1.61
5/10	A	Ann Arbor Huron	4-	8	-4	-5		1.67	1.47
5/12	H	Plymouth Canton-Salem	2-	7	-5	2	–––	-1.67	-6.63
5/16	H	OL St Mary's	7-	6	1	1		-1.67	-0.39
5/17	H	Northville	9-	6	3	-1	+	-1.67	3.96
5/19	A	Waterford	6-	9	-3	2	––	1.67	-4.70
5/22	A	Utica Eisenhower	13-	12	1	-1	+	1.67	2.21
5/30	N	Bloomfield Hills	7-	4	3	-3	+++	0.00	6.12
6/01	N	Brother Rice	0-	15	-15	-17	+	0.00	2.22
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	A	Univ Detroit Jesuit	3-	16	3.00
3/31	H	Cranbrook	4-	14	0.00
4/30	H	Troy Athens	3-	13	0.00
5/05	A	De La Salle	4-	17	3.00
6/01	N	Brother Rice	0-	15	-2.22
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	1228
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.75		Natl Power Rank	1228
Natl SOS Rating	77.39		Natl SOS Rank	1147
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	479
W-L Pct Rating	0.43		W-L Pct Rank	1569
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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