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Davison Cardinals (9-6)

Region: MI 2

State: MI

Coach: Nick Leffeler

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	at Lincoln-Ypsilanti (7-8)	MI 2	81.1		L	7-	14		-0.200
4/04	at Grand Blanc (7-11)	MI 1	79.9		L	4-	7		-0.250
4/16	vs. Bay City Central # (7-7)	MI 2	76.5		W	7-	5		0.150
4/18	WATERFORD (8-8)	MI 1	81.5		W	5-	4		0.275
4/20	SWARTZ CREEK (0-15)	MI 2	64.8		W	16-	3		0.000
4/27	at Saline (19-1)	MI 1	90.3	7	L	5-	15		0.000
4/28	at Tecumseh (11-5)	MI 2	84.2		L	5-	11		-0.075
4/30	ANN ARBOR GREENHILLS (8-10)	MI 2	74.7		W	11-	1		0.025
5/02	BAY CITY CENTRAL (7-7)	MI 2	76.5		W	9-	2		0.100
5/08	ROYAL OAK (2-12)	MI 1	77.5		W	6-	3		0.175
5/11	at Swartz Creek (0-15)	MI 2	64.8		W	15-	0		0.000
5/15	HOWELL (1-17)	MI 1	74.5		W	10-	1		0.100
5/16	GRAND BLANC (7-11)	MI 1	79.9		W	9-	2		0.150
5/21	SALINE (19-1)	MI 1	90.3	7	L	5-	11		-0.050
5/22	LOWELL (7-12)	MI 2	81.4		L	7-	10		-0.250
# Neutral site			73.3						0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	Lincoln-Ypsilanti	7-	14	-7	-2	––	1.67	-5.39
4/04	A	Grand Blanc	4-	7	-3	0	–	1.67	-3.18
4/16	N	Bay City Central	7-	5	2	4	–	0.00	-2.07
4/18	H	Waterford	5-	4	1	-1		-1.67	1.85
4/20	H	Swartz Creek	16-	3	13	17	–	-1.67	-3.88
4/27	A	Saline	5-	15	-10	-12		1.67	1.79
4/28	A	Tecumseh	5-	11	-6	-7		1.67	1.40
4/30	H	Ann Arbor Greenhills	11-	1	10	9		-1.67	1.30
5/02	H	Bay City Central	9-	2	7	6		-1.67	1.26
5/08	H	Royal Oak	6-	3	3	3		-1.67	-0.39
5/11	A	Swartz Creek	15-	0	15	14		1.67	1.46
5/15	H	Howell	10-	1	9	6	+	-1.67	2.74
5/16	H	Grand Blanc	9-	2	7	4	+	-1.67	3.48
5/21	H	Saline	5-	11	-6	-8	+	-1.67	2.45
5/22	H	Lowell	7-	10	-3	0	–	-1.67	-2.85
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/20	H	Swartz Creek	16-	3	3.88
4/27	A	Saline	5-	15	-1.79
4/30	H	Ann Arbor Greenhills	11-	1	0.00
5/11	A	Swartz Creek	15-	0	-1.46
10-goal correction: 0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	1479
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.68		Natl Power Rank	1479
Natl SOS Rating	58.61		Natl SOS Rank	2531
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1019
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	896
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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