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Foothill-Sacramento Mustangs (3-10)

Conference: D2

Region: CA NorCal

State: CA

Coach: Pete Lee

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/24	at Cordova-Folsom (7-7)	CA NorCal	83.6		L	1-	8		-0.150
3/03	at Oak Ridge (11-6)	CA NorCal	88.7	9	L	4-	9		-0.050
3/07	at Granite Bay (14-4)	CA NorCal	91.2	5	L	1-	10		0.000
3/17	at Mira Loma (0-11)	CA NorCal	65.2		W	14-	1		0.025
3/24	JESUIT-SACRAMENTO (7-5)	CA NorCal	85.0		L	6-	7		-0.175
3/28	DAVIS (10-5)	CA NorCal	89.6	8	L	1-	8		-0.100
4/14	CORDOVA-FOLSOM (7-7)	CA NorCal	83.6		L	4-	5		-0.200
4/15	at Chico Grey (7-3)	CA NorCal	88.0		L	2-	11		-0.075
4/21	at Morgan Hill (1-12)	CA NorCal	78.3		W	7-	6		0.325
4/22	CHICO RED (8-3)	CA NorCal	90.3	7	L	1-	13		-0.075
4/22	PALO ALTO (THLC) (13-3)	CA NorCal	92.0	3	L	1-	9		-0.025
4/28	JESUIT-SACRAMENTO (7-5)	CA NorCal	85.0		L	4-	15		-0.175
5/05	MIRA LOMA (0-11)	CA NorCal	65.2		W	14-	0		0.000
			82.7						-0.67

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/24	A	Cordova-Folsom	1-	8	-7	-4	–	1.14	-2.77
3/03	A	Oak Ridge	4-	9	-5	-8	+	1.14	2.65
3/07	A	Granite Bay	1-	10	-9	-10		1.14	0.65
3/17	A	Mira Loma	14-	1	13	9	++	1.14	4.22
3/24	H	Jesuit-Sacramento	6-	7	-1	-3	+	-1.14	2.32
3/28	H	Davis	1-	8	-7	-6		-1.14	-1.19
4/14	H	Cordova-Folsom	4-	5	-1	-2		-1.14	0.95
4/15	A	Chico Grey	2-	11	-9	-7	–	1.14	-2.23
4/21	A	Morgan Hill	7-	6	1	-3	++	1.14	4.06
4/22	H	Chico Red	1-	13	-12	-7	––	-1.14	-5.18
4/22	H	Palo Alto (THLC)	1-	9	-8	-9		-1.14	1.25
4/28	H	Jesuit-Sacramento	4-	15	-11	-3	–––	-1.14	-7.68
5/05	H	Mira Loma	14-	0	14	11	+	-1.14	2.94
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/17	A	Mira Loma	14-	1	-3.00
4/22	H	Chico Red	1-	13	2.00
4/28	H	Jesuit-Sacramento	4-	15	1.00
5/05	H	Mira Loma	14-	0	-2.94
10-goal correction: -0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	1927
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.97		Natl Power Rank	1927
Natl SOS Rating	75.17		Natl SOS Rank	1376
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.67		Natl Quality Win Rank	2357
W-L Pct Rating	0.23		W-L Pct Rank	2156
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7

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