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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Fitch-Groton Falcons (5-11)

Conference: ECIACRegion: CT MState: CTCoach: Dave Howes

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/05WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (2-14)CT M72.9W16- 5 0.000  
4/07at Suffield HS (12-6)CT S87.5L7-15 -0.100  
4/10EAST LYME (16-4)CT M94.3L1-18 0.000  
4/18at Morgan-Clinton (10-6)CT S87.3L5-11 -0.125  
4/20VALLEY REGIONAL (7-8)CT S79.5W14- 5 0.125  
4/24WHEELER-NO STONINGTON (3-13)CT S70.2W18- 3 0.000  
4/26LEDYARD (9-6)CT M85.0L5-14 -0.250  
4/28at Concord Carlisle (17-7)MA 291.7L2- 5 0.000  
5/01at Saint Bernard (5-11)CT S73.4W18- 4 0.050  
5/05at Xavier (5-11)CT L85.8L7-14 -0.100  
5/10NORTH KINGSTOWN (10-8)RI Div-192.7L3-14 -0.025  
5/12GUILFORD (11-8)CT M91.5L3- 8 -0.025  
5/14at Stonington (6-12)CT S79.1L4- 5 -0.275  
5/16at Old Lyme (12-3)CT S88.1L8-13 -0.100  
5/19at Norwich Free Academy (10-7)CT L86.0W8- 5 0.325  
5/23vs. East Lyme # (16-4)CT M94.3L1-13 0.000  
# Neutral site 81.9     -0.50  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/05HWoodstock Academy16-511   10       -1.70       0.62
4/07ASuffield HS7-15-8   -6       1.70       -2.31
4/10HEast Lyme1-18-17   -10       –––-1.70       -7.38
4/18AMorgan-Clinton5-11-6   -5       1.70       -0.50
4/20HValley Regional14-59   5       ++-1.70       4.21
4/24HWheeler-No Stonington18-315   13       +-1.70       2.31
4/26HLedyard5-14-9   0       –––-1.70       -9.32
4/28AConcord Carlisle2-5-3   -11       +++1.43       8.10
5/01ASaint Bernard18-414   8       ++1.70       5.57
5/05AXavier7-14-7   -6       1.70       -1.41
5/10HNorth Kingstown3-14-11   -9       -1.47       -1.81
5/12HGuilford3-8-5   -9       +-1.70       3.70
5/14AStonington4-5-1   1       1.70       -2.05
5/16AOld Lyme8-13-5   -6       1.70       1.27
5/19ANorwich Free Academy8-53   -3       ++1.70       5.97
5/23NEast Lyme1-13-12   -11       0.00       -0.68
         0.006.30

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/05HWoodstock Academy16-5-0.62
4/10HEast Lyme1-187.00
4/24HWheeler-No Stonington18-3-2.31
5/01ASaint Bernard18-4-4.00
5/10HNorth Kingstown3-141.00
5/23NEast Lyme1-130.68
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 82.   Natl CCR Rank 1594
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 82.01   Natl Power Rank 1594
Natl SOS Rating 74.00   Natl SOS Rank 1492
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.50   Natl Quality Win Rank 2181
W-L Pct Rating 0.31   W-L Pct Rank 1921
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) -2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -14.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -4.7



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