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2009
2008
2007

Fletcher Senators (8-7)

Region: FL 2B Centrl

State: FL

Coach: Josh Covelli

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/17	BARTRAM TRAIL (4-9)	FL 2B Centrl	77.4		W	4-	2		0.200
2/21	TERRY PARKER (0-4)	FL No-East	60.2		W	9-	1		0.000
2/24	MENENDEZ (3-9)	FL 3B Centrl	77.3		W	10-	6		0.225
2/26	at Episcopal Jacksonville (11-8)	FL 2B Centrl	86.1		L	2-	13		0.000
2/26	SANDALWOOD (4-3)	FL No-East	70.7		W	4-	3		0.075
2/28	at Mandarin (0-3)	FL No-East	66.8		W	6-	5	ot	0.050
3/03	OAK HALL-GAINESVILLE (3-9)	FL 1B Centrl	75.9		L	5-	6		-0.325
3/07	PAXON (4-2)	FL No-East	76.0		W	2-	1		0.200
3/10	FLEMING ISLAND (1-6)	FL 3B Centrl	74.7		W	7-	2		0.175
3/15	at Fleming Island (1-6)	FL 3B Centrl	74.7		L	6-	8		-0.225
3/26	at Sandalwood (4-3)	FL No-East	70.7		W	6-	4		0.150
3/27	at Bolles (14-3)	FL 2B Centrl	91.1	7	L	2-	18		0.000
3/28	at Bartram Trail (4-9)	FL 2B Centrl	77.4		L	5-	6		-0.200
3/31	STANTON PREP (7-8)	FL 2B Centrl	78.8		L	3-	6		-0.275
4/09	at Stanton Prep (7-8)	FL 2B Centrl	78.8		L	5-	6	ot	-0.175
			74.1						-0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/17	H	Bartram Trail	4-	2	2	2		-1.59	0.42
2/21	H	Terry Parker	9-	1	8	18	–––	-1.44		-9.66
2/24	H	Menendez	10-	6	4	1	+	-1.59	2.60
2/26	A	Episcopal Jacksonville	2-	13	-11	-12		1.59	1.04
2/26	H	Sandalwood	4-	3	1	7	–––	-1.44		-6.11
2/28	A	Mandarin	6-	5	1	8	–––	1.44		-7.09
3/03	H	Oak Hall-Gainesville	5-	6	-1	3	–	-1.59	-3.68
3/07	H	Paxon	2-	1	1	2		-1.44		-0.82
3/10	H	Fleming Island	7-	2	5	3	+	-1.59	2.44
3/15	A	Fleming Island	6-	8	-2	-1		1.59	-1.38
3/26	A	Sandalwood	6-	4	2	4	–	1.44		-2.22
3/27	A	Bolles	2-	18	-16	-16		1.59	-0.02
3/28	A	Bartram Trail	5-	6	-1	-2		1.59	0.60
3/31	H	Stanton Prep	3-	6	-3	1	–	-1.59	-3.59
4/09	A	Stanton Prep	5-	6	-1	-3		1.59	1.59
									0.00	-25.90

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/26	A	Episcopal Jacksonville	2-	13	-1.04
3/27	A	Bolles	2-	18	0.02
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	2026
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.38		Natl Power Rank	2026
Natl SOS Rating	60.76		Natl SOS Rank	2463
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	1712
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1136
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7

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