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Fairmont Polar Bears (4-13)

Region: PA 2DSOUTHState: WVCoach: Jim DeNardi

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/19FOX CHAPEL (9-6)PA 2DSOUTH87.8L1-18 0.000  
3/27LINSLY SCHOOL (8-3)PA Indep74.1W9- 4 0.225  
3/30QUAKER VALLEY (6-7)PA 2DSOUTH81.8L4- 9 -0.025  
4/03WINCHESTER THURSTON (15-2)PA 2DSOUTH90.97L4-15 0.000  
4/05at Wheeling Cent Cath (8-6)PA Indep73.9L10-11 -0.150  
4/11WHEELING PARK (0-7)PA Indep62.6W5- 42ot0.025  
4/13at McGuffey (2-7)PA Indep65.8W11- 3 0.075  
4/16at Morgantown (7-8)PA 2DSOUTH79.0L1-13 -0.025  
4/20at Taylor Allderdice (3-13)PA 2DNORTH72.9L6- 8 -0.150  
4/23at Chartiers Valley (4-11)PA 2DSOUTH77.9L4-21 0.000  
4/25at Linsly School (8-3)PA Indep74.1L9-11 -0.200  
4/28at Greensburg Cath Cent (12-5)PA 2DSOUTH90.210L2-18 0.000  
5/01at Canon-McMillan (6-7)PA 2DSOUTH82.1L0-12 0.000  
5/03at Baldwin (7-11)PA 2DSOUTH80.5L3-17 0.000  
5/08UNIVERSITY (12-7)PA 2DSOUTH83.0L5-11 -0.075  
5/09at Trinity (10-6)PA 2DNORTH81.7L5-14 0.000  
5/11at Wheeling Park (0-7)PA Indep62.6W8- 3 0.100  
 75.1     -0.20  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/19HFox Chapel1-18-17   -15       –-1.47       -2.09
3/27HLinsly School9-45   1       +-1.47       3.86
3/30HQuaker Valley4-9-5   -9       ++-1.47       4.27
4/03HWinchester Thurston4-15-11   -14       +-1.47       2.54
4/05AWheeling Cent Cath10-11-1   -4       +1.47       2.98
4/11HWheeling Park5-41   9       –––-1.47       -7.70
4/13AMcGuffey11-38   7       1.47       1.38
4/16AMorgantown1-13-12   -9       –1.47       -2.56
4/20ATaylor Allderdice6-8-2   -4       +1.47       2.43
4/23AChartiers Valley4-21-17   -10       –––1.47       -6.97
4/25ALinsly School9-11-2   -2       1.47       -0.19
4/28AGreensburg Cath Cent2-18-16   -19       +1.47       2.78
5/01ACanon-McMillan0-12-12   -12       1.47       -0.23
5/03ABaldwin3-17-14   -11       –1.47       -2.84
5/08HUniversity5-11-6   -7       -1.47       1.08
5/09ATrinity5-14-9   -11       +1.47       2.01
5/11AWheeling Park8-35   6       1.47       -0.75
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/19HFox Chapel1-182.09
4/03HWinchester Thurston4-15-2.54
4/16AMorgantown1-132.00
4/23AChartiers Valley4-217.00
4/28AGreensburg Cath Cent2-18-2.78
5/01ACanon-McMillan0-120.23
5/03ABaldwin3-172.84
10-goal correction: 0.52

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 70.   Natl CCR Rank 2446
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 70.78   Natl Power Rank 2446
Natl SOS Rating 62.45   Natl SOS Rank 2387
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.20   Natl Quality Win Rank 1705
W-L Pct Rating 0.24   W-L Pct Rank 2155
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 4-13   Ave Goal diff (all ) -6.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -11.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.3



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