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Fort Collins Unified Vipers (15-4)

Region: CO Foothil

State: CO

Coach: Carey Smith

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	vs. Episcopal Houston # (14-3)	TX 1 South	93.6		W	10-	0		0.150
3/14	vs. St Paul's # (14-4)	MD A MIAA	98.3		L	5-	9		-0.250
3/15	vs. Bishop's School # (12-6)	CA Coastal	89.1		W	9-	3		0.025
3/23	DENVER EAST (11-7)	CO South	91.0	9	W	11-	7		0.150
4/02	ALEXANDER DAWSON (9-6)	CO Foothil	86.0		W	11-	1		0.000
4/04	at Heritage (9-9)	CO Contl	90.9	10	W	9-	8		0.225
4/07	MONARCH (11-7)	CO Foothil	87.6		W	6-	3		0.050
4/11	at Arapahoe (14-3)	CO Contl	97.0	4	L	3-	7		-0.225
4/14	at Golden (10-6)	CO Foothil	88.4		W	15-	3		0.100
4/18	WHEAT RIDGE (9-6)	CO Foothil	85.2		W	13-	4		0.000
4/21	at Green Mountain (10-5)	CO Foothil	86.8		W	13-	1		0.025
4/23	KENT DENVER (16-2)	CO South	98.6	1	L	4-	5		-0.250
4/28	COLUMBINE (11-5)	CO Foothil	91.2	8	W	9-	3		0.100
5/01	at Cherry Creek (13-4)	CO Centenn	97.4	3	L	2-	6		-0.225
5/04	MULLEN (13-4)	CO Centenn	95.1	6	W	12-	7		0.200
5/09	FAIRVIEW (10-5)	CO Centenn	89.8		W	10-	4		0.100
5/12	vs. Regis Jesuit # (15-3)	CO Contl	96.2	5	W	7-	4		0.200
5/16	vs. Cherry Creek # (13-4)	CO Centenn	97.4	3	W	9-	8	ot	0.275
5/19	vs. Kent Denver # (16-2)	CO South	98.6	1	W	7-	6		1.250
# Neutral site			93.8						1.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	N	Episcopal Houston	10-	0	10	4	++	0.00		5.72
3/14	N	St Paul's	5-	9	-4	0	–	0.00		-3.57
3/15	N	Bishop's School	9-	3	6	9	–	0.00		-2.83
3/23	H	Denver East	11-	7	4	4		-0.59	-0.34
4/02	H	Alexander Dawson	11-	1	10	11		-0.59	-0.87
4/04	A	Heritage	9-	8	1	1		0.59	-0.27
4/07	H	Monarch	6-	3	3	8	––	-0.59	-4.96
4/11	A	Arapahoe	3-	7	-4	-1	–	0.59	-3.48
4/14	A	Golden	15-	3	12	6	++	0.59	5.73
4/18	H	Wheat Ridge	13-	4	9	11		-0.59	-1.57
4/21	A	Green Mountain	13-	1	12	9	+	0.59	3.01
4/23	H	Kent Denver	4-	5	-1	0		-0.59	-1.40
4/28	H	Columbine	9-	3	6	6		-0.59	0.33
5/01	A	Cherry Creek	2-	6	-4	-1	–	0.59	-2.77
5/04	H	Mullen	12-	7	5	2	+	-0.59	3.21
5/09	H	Fairview	10-	4	6	6		-0.59	-0.36
5/12	N	Regis Jesuit	7-	4	3	2		0.00	0.92
5/16	N	Cherry Creek	9-	8	1	-1		0.00	1.64
5/19	N	Kent Denver	7-	6	1	0		0.00	1.19
									0.00	-0.69

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	N	Episcopal Houston	10-	0	0.00
4/02	H	Alexander Dawson	11-	1	0.87
4/14	A	Golden	15-	3	-2.00
4/21	A	Green Mountain	13-	1	-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	194.		Natl CCR Rank	35
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	41
Natl Power Rating	97.91		Natl Power Rank	28
Natl SOS Rating	97.63		Natl SOS Rank	11
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	61
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	278
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	7-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	11-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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