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Forest Hills Central Rangers (13-8)

Region: MI 2

State: MI

Coach: Tony Quinn

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	ZEELAND (8-9)	MI 2	83.7		W	15-	3		0.025
3/24	at Ann Arbor Pioneer (18-3)	MI 1	93.9	4	L	9-	17		-0.100
3/27	at East Grand Rapids (19-3)	MI 2	94.8	2	L	11-	12		-0.075
4/14	MATTAWAN (6-10)	MI 2	82.6		W	16-	4		0.000
4/19	at Rockford (12-6)	MI 1	89.5		W	13-	10		0.250
4/20	at East Lansing (9-8)	MI 2	83.9		W	10-	3		0.125
4/21	at Troy Athens (17-4)	MI 1	94.2	3	L	11-	12		-0.075
4/24	EAST GRAND RAPIDS (19-3)	MI 2	94.8	2	L	7-	19		-0.175
4/26	at Lansing Waverly (9-8)	MI 1	86.2		L	10-	13		-0.350
4/28	MATTAWAN (6-10)	MI 2	82.6		W	12-	7		0.000
5/01	ROCKFORD (12-6)	MI 1	89.5		W	13-	9		0.175
5/03	at Holland West Ottawa (5-10)	MI 1	83.2		W	12-	7		0.150
5/09	HOLLAND WEST OTTAWA (5-10)	MI 1	83.2		W	9-	7		0.050
5/11	at Cranbrook (14-6)	MI 2	91.9	6	L	9-	11		-0.150
5/15	ROCKFORD (12-6)	MI 1	89.5		W	9-	8		0.175
5/17	at East Grand Rapids (19-3)	MI 2	94.8	2	L	8-	12		-0.075
5/19	at Bloomfield Hills (8-8)	MI 1	86.4		W	13-	9		0.200
5/24	MATTAWAN (6-10)	MI 2	82.6		W	15-	7		0.000
5/30	vs. Portage Central # (14-2)	MI 2	87.8		W	8-	4		0.125
6/02	vs. De La Salle # (11-6)	MI 2	90.2	8	W	8-	7		0.275
6/06	vs. East Grand Rapids # (19-3)	MI 2	94.8	2	L	5-	10		-0.125
# Neutral site			86.2						0.42

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	H	Zeeland	15-	3	12	9	+	-1.67	3.34
3/24	A	Ann Arbor Pioneer	9-	17	-8	-6		1.67	-1.80
3/27	A	East Grand Rapids	11-	12	-1	-7	++	1.67	5.57
4/14	H	Mattawan	16-	4	12	10	+	-1.67	2.25
4/19	A	Rockford	13-	10	3	0	+	1.67	3.27
4/20	A	East Lansing	10-	3	7	5	+	1.67	2.23
4/21	A	Troy Athens	11-	12	-1	-7	++	1.67	5.86
4/24	H	East Grand Rapids	7-	19	-12	-3	–––	-1.67	-8.77
4/26	A	Lansing Waverly	10-	13	-3	4	–––	1.67	-6.77
4/28	H	Mattawan	12-	7	5	10	––	-1.67	-4.75
5/01	H	Rockford	13-	9	4	3		-1.67	0.93
5/03	A	Holland West Ottawa	12-	7	5	4		1.67	0.77
5/09	H	Holland West Ottawa	9-	7	2	8	––	-1.67	-5.57
5/11	A	Cranbrook	9-	11	-2	-4	+	1.67	2.12
5/15	H	Rockford	9-	8	1	3	–	-1.67	-2.07
5/17	A	East Grand Rapids	8-	12	-4	-7	+	1.67	2.57
5/19	A	Bloomfield Hills	13-	9	4	2		1.67	1.87
5/24	H	Mattawan	15-	7	8	10		-1.67	-1.75
5/30	N	Portage Central	8-	4	4	5		0.00	-0.82
6/02	N	De La Salle	8-	7	1	-1		0.00	1.62
6/06	N	East Grand Rapids	5-	10	-5	-5		0.00	-0.10
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	H	Zeeland	15-	3	-2.00
4/14	H	Mattawan	16-	4	-2.25
4/24	H	East Grand Rapids	7-	19	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	583
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.91		Natl Power Rank	583
Natl SOS Rating	81.65		Natl SOS Rank	710
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.42		Natl Quality Win Rank	685
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	841
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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