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Fordham Prep Rams (11-8)

Region: NY Cathlc

State: NY

Coach: Dan Kaiser

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	ST JOHN BAPTIST (9-9)	NY Cath	89.9		L	1-	13		-0.175
3/24	at Iona Prep (22-2)	NY Cathlc	90.7	2	L	8-	11		-0.150
3/26	ARCHBISHOP STEPINAC (12-9)	NY Cathlc	84.8	9	W	9-	8	ot	0.150
3/27	at St Francis Prep (6-10)	NY Cathlc	80.1		W	10-	3		0.125
3/31	at Mahopac (4-14)	NY A Sec 1	90.0		L	5-	6		-0.100
4/02	MONSIGNOR FARRELL (11-8)	NY Cathlc	83.2		W	9-	6		0.125
4/09	XAVERIAN (0-12)	NY Cathlc	73.8		W	19-	0		0.000
4/10	MOUNT ST MICHAEL (3-11)	NY Cathlc	77.5		W	14-	0		0.000
4/19	IONA PREP (22-2)	NY Cathlc	90.7	2	L	7-	8	ot	-0.225
4/20	at St Francis Prep (6-10)	NY Cathlc	80.1		W	5-	1		0.125
4/21	at St Luke's (15-4)	NE 2 FAA	86.9		L	3-	11		-0.150
4/23	ARCHBISHOP STEPINAC (12-9)	NY Cathlc	84.8	9	W	11-	7		0.150
4/27	at Monsignor Farrell (11-8)	NY Cathlc	83.2		W	8-	3		0.175
4/30	at Xaverian (0-12)	NY Cathlc	73.8		W	19-	3		0.000
5/03	at Mamaroneck (13-7)	NY A Sec 1	93.9		L	11-	19		0.000
5/04	at Mount St Michael (3-11)	NY Cathlc	77.5		W	8-	3		0.025
5/11	ARCHBISHOP STEPINAC (12-9)	NY Cathlc	84.8	9	L	10-	11	ot	-0.350
5/14	MONSIGNOR FARRELL (11-8)	NY Cathlc	83.2		W	9-	1		0.125
5/17	POLY PREP (10-9)	NY Ivy	85.2	7	L	5-	6		-0.325
			83.1						-0.47

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	St John Baptist	1-	13	-12	-3	–––	-1.37		-8.52
3/24	A	Iona Prep	8-	11	-3	-4		1.39	1.26
3/26	H	Archbishop Stepinac	9-	8	1	4	–	-1.39	-2.95
3/27	A	St Francis Prep	10-	3	7	5	+	1.39	2.39
3/31	A	Mahopac	5-	6	-1	-6	++	1.28		5.20
4/02	H	Monsignor Farrell	9-	6	3	5	–	-1.39	-2.33
4/09	H	Xaverian	19-	0	19	16	+	-1.39	3.29
4/10	H	Mount St Michael	14-	0	14	12	+	-1.39	2.45
4/19	H	Iona Prep	7-	8	-1	-1		-1.39	0.48
4/20	A	St Francis Prep	5-	1	4	5		1.39	-0.61
4/21	A	St Luke's	3-	11	-8	-4	––	1.81		-4.30
4/23	H	Archbishop Stepinac	11-	7	4	4		-1.39	0.05
4/27	A	Monsignor Farrell	8-	3	5	3	+	1.39	2.45
4/30	A	Xaverian	19-	3	16	13	+	1.39	3.07
5/03	A	Mamaroneck	11-	19	-8	-10	+	1.28		2.17
5/04	A	Mount St Michael	8-	3	5	9	–	1.39	-3.77
5/11	H	Archbishop Stepinac	10-	11	-1	4	––	-1.39	-4.95
5/14	H	Monsignor Farrell	9-	1	8	5	+	-1.39	2.67
5/17	H	Poly Prep	5-	6	-1	3	–	-1.39	-3.50
									0.00	-5.45

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/20	H	St John Baptist	1-	13	2.00
4/09	H	Xaverian	19-	0	-3.29
4/10	H	Mount St Michael	14-	0	-2.45
4/30	A	Xaverian	19-	3	-3.07
10-goal correction: -0.36

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1063
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.04		Natl Power Rank	1063
Natl SOS Rating	76.36		Natl SOS Rank	1253
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.47		Natl Quality Win Rank	2270
W-L Pct Rating	0.58		W-L Pct Rank	982
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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