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First Colonial LC Patriots (4-6)

Region: VA BeachState: VACoach: Tom Lucas

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/10at Princess Anne LC (2-8)VA Beach52.3W13- 4 0.075  
3/14F.W.COX LC (10-3)VA Beach70.88L5- 9 -0.075  
3/20at Catholic-Sullivan (12-7)VA 2 Tidewtr87.3L2-14 0.000  
3/23TABB LC (3-8)VA Beach58.4W12- 8 0.150  
3/30YORKTOWN LC (2-7)VA Beach55.6-    
4/04at Maury LC (12-6)VA Beach69.69L3- 7 -0.125  
4/20GREAT BRIDGE LC (4-6)VA Beach58.9W6- 3 0.125  
4/25MENCHVILLE LC (10-4)VA Beach66.6L2-16 -0.175  
4/27at Kellam LC (3-7)VA Beach56.0W10- 3 0.125  
5/09vs. F.W.Cox LC # (10-3)VA Beach70.88L6-11 -0.050  
5/16MAURY LC (12-6)VA Beach69.69L2- 5 -0.150  
# Neutral site 68.6     -0.10  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/10APrincess Anne LC13-49   7       +0.88       2.33
3/14HF.W.Cox LC5-9-4   -7       +-0.88       3.21
3/20ACatholic-Sullivan2-14-12   -26       +++0.62       13.92
3/23HTabb LC12-84   4       -0.88       0.17
4/04AMaury LC3-7-4   -5       0.88       1.46
4/20HGreat Bridge LC6-33   5       -0.88       -2.34
4/25HMenchville LC2-16-14   -3       –––-0.88       -10.62
4/27AKellam LC10-37   5       +0.88       2.02
5/09NF.W.Cox LC6-11-5   -8       +0.00       3.08
5/16HMaury LC2-5-3   -4       -0.88       0.71
         0.0013.92

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/20ACatholic-Sullivan2-1413.92
4/25HMenchville LC2-164.00
10-goal correction: -0.99

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 62.   Natl CCR Rank 2655
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 61.98   Natl Power Rank 2655
Natl SOS Rating 52.32   Natl SOS Rank 2651
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.10   Natl Quality Win Rank 1528
W-L Pct Rating 0.40   W-L Pct Rank 1678
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 4-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) -1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -4.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -4.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -0.3



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