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Frederick Cadets (5-10)

Region: MD 21 West

State: MD

Coach: Dave McGinnis

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	LONG REACH (1-12)	MD 32 South	72.5		W	14-	2		0.125
3/27	BRUNSWICK (5-9)	MD 21 West	74.7		W	16-	8		0.200
3/29	at Tuscarora (3-12)	MD 32 West	76.8		L	8-	13		-0.225
4/02	NORTH HAGERSTOWN (2-13)	MD 21 West	64.9		W	17-	1		0.000
4/07	vs. Watkins Mill # (5-11)	MD 43 North	73.8		W	16-	5		0.125
4/07	vs. Thomas Johnson # (5-10)	MD 43 North	78.9		W	10-	9		0.300
4/10	FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (4-12)	MD 21 West	82.0		L	8-	16		-0.125
4/14	at Catoctin (6-6)	MD 21 West	77.9		L	9-	10		-0.225
4/17	SOUTH CARROLL (7-8)	MD 21 West	85.2		L	3-	5		-0.100
4/19	MIDDLETOWN (10-3)	MD 21 West	85.6		L	4-	15		-0.150
4/24	LIBERTY (6-10)	MD 21 West	83.1		L	2-	6		-0.125
4/26	at Winters Mill (19-0)	MD 21 West	95.4	2	L	2-	19		0.000
5/01	at Walkersville (12-2)	MD 32 West	90.3		L	6-	19		0.000
5/03	at Thomas Johnson (5-10)	MD 43 North	78.9		L	5-	19		-0.175
5/10	FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (4-12)	MD 21 West	82.0		L	6-	13		-0.125
# Neutral site			80.4						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	H	Long Reach	14-	2	12	5	+++	-0.72	7.40
3/27	H	Brunswick	16-	8	8	2	++	-0.72	5.73
3/29	A	Tuscarora	8-	13	-5	-1	–	0.72	-3.54
4/02	H	North Hagerstown	17-	1	16	13	+	-0.72	2.87
4/07	N	Watkins Mill	16-	5	11	5	+++	0.00	6.02
4/07	N	Thomas Johnson	10-	9	1	-2	+	0.00	2.90
4/10	H	Francis Scott Key	8-	16	-8	-5	–	-0.72	-3.24
4/14	A	Catoctin	9-	10	-1	-1		0.72	-0.27
4/17	H	South Carroll	3-	5	-2	-6	+	-0.72	3.50
4/19	H	Middletown	4-	15	-11	-4	–––	-0.72	-6.67
4/24	H	Liberty	2-	6	-4	-5		-0.72	1.38
4/26	A	Winters Mill	2-	19	-17	-16		0.72	-1.09
5/01	A	Walkersville	6-	19	-13	-12		0.72	-1.37
5/03	A	Thomas Johnson	5-	19	-14	-3	–––	0.72	11.38
5/10	H	Francis Scott Key	6-	13	-7	-5	–	-0.72	-2.24
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	H	Long Reach	14-	2	-2.00
4/02	H	North Hagerstown	17-	1	-2.87
4/07	N	Watkins Mill	16-	5	-1.00
4/19	H	Middletown	4-	15	1.00
4/26	A	Winters Mill	2-	19	1.09
5/01	A	Walkersville	6-	19	1.37
5/03	A	Thomas Johnson	5-	19	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	1960
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.23		Natl Power Rank	1960
Natl SOS Rating	70.94		Natl SOS Rank	1817
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	2161
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1859
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-17.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-17.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-11.3


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