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Fredericksburg Academy Falcons (5-9)

Region: VA 3 DelaneyState: VACoach: Adam Russell

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/14HIGHLAND SCHOOL (18-4)VA 2 Delaney92.2L4-16 0.000  
3/19SETON SCHOOL (12-4)VA 3 Delaney89.01L6-11 -0.150  
3/22RANDOLPH-MACON ACADEMY (0-10)VA 2 Delaney67.1W17- 4 0.000  
3/27at Wakefield School (11-7)VA 2 Delaney88.8L4-14 -0.025  
4/04SPOTSYLVANIA LC (7-9)VA RALL69.4W3- 2 0.000  
4/05at Highland School (18-4)VA 2 Delaney92.2L1-15 0.000  
4/18at Trinity-Meadow View (10-4)VA 3 Indep86.93L5-10 -0.175  
4/19TRINITY EPISCOPAL (6-11)VA 3 Indep82.24L5- 9 -0.125  
4/23WAKEFIELD SCHOOL (11-7)VA 2 Delaney88.8L3-16 -0.050  
4/25at Randolph-Macon Academy (0-10)VA 2 Delaney67.1W11- 3 0.000  
4/30JAMES MONROE (1-8)VA Battfd74.7W8- 7 0.075  
5/02at Trinity Christian (2-11)VA 3 Indep75.3W10- 1 0.075  
5/03TANDEM FRIENDS (8-4)VA 2 VIC85.7L3-15 -0.125  
5/10at Wakefield School (11-7)VA 2 Delaney88.8L1-19 -0.025  
 82.7     -0.53  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/14HHighland School4-16-12   -12       -0.35       -0.32
3/19HSeton School6-11-5   -4       -0.33       -1.35
3/22HRandolph-Macon Academy17-413   13       -0.35       -0.47
3/27AWakefield School4-14-10   -9       0.35       -1.07
4/04HSpotsylvania LC3-21   11       –––-0.60       -10.38
4/05AHighland School1-15-14   -12       0.35       -1.62
4/18ATrinity-Meadow View5-10-5   -3       0.33       -1.53
4/19HTrinity Episcopal5-9-4   -5       -0.33       0.97
4/23HWakefield School3-16-13   -8       ––-0.35       -4.77
4/25ARandolph-Macon Academy11-38   13       ––0.35       -4.77
4/30HJames Monroe8-71   7       ––-1.13       -5.60
5/02ATrinity Christian10-19   7       0.33       1.91
5/03HTandem Friends3-15-12   -5       –––-0.35       -6.91
5/10AWakefield School1-19-18   -9       –––0.35       -9.07
         0.00-44.97

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/14HHighland School4-160.32
3/22HRandolph-Macon Academy17-40.47
3/27AWakefield School4-140.00
4/05AHighland School1-151.62
4/23HWakefield School3-163.00
5/03HTandem Friends3-152.00
5/10AWakefield School1-198.00
10-goal correction: 1.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 80.   Natl CCR Rank 1789
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 80.22   Natl Power Rank 1789
Natl SOS Rating 74.21   Natl SOS Rank 1470
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.53   Natl Quality Win Rank 2020
W-L Pct Rating 0.36   W-L Pct Rank 1804
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 5-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) -4.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -4.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -7.0



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