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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Frontier Falcons (14-5)

Region: NY A Sec 6State: NYCoach: Terry Ostrander

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/17at Sweet Home (11-9)NY B Sec 688.010W13- 2 0.150  
4/19ORCHARD PARK (16-5)NY A Sec 697.31L3- 8 -0.150  
4/23at North Tonawanda (0-14)NY A Sec 669.8W17- 1 0.000  
4/25at Niagara Wheatfield (16-3)NY A Sec 696.32L4-11 -0.125  
4/27at Jamestown (2-14)NY A Sec 672.1W17- 2 0.000  
5/01at Clarence (11-8)NY A Sec 687.0W12- 8 0.150  
5/03LANCASTER (7-9)NY A Sec 684.8W13- 7 0.075  
5/05at Pittsford (5-10)NY A Sec 593.4L8-10 -0.225  
5/07WEST SENECA WEST (6-11)NY A Sec 682.3W13- 5 0.025  
5/09at Lockport (6-12)NY A Sec 678.2W16- 3 0.000  
5/11at Williamsville East (9-10)NY B Sec 684.9W8- 4 0.125  
5/12WEST SENECA EAST (13-5)NY B Sec 690.27L10-12 -0.375  
5/15WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH (11-8)NY A Sec 690.08W11- 7 0.150  
5/17HAMBURG (17-4)NY B Sec 693.93W9- 8 0.200  
5/18at Amherst (10-10)NY B Sec 688.79W13-10 0.250  
5/22WILLIAMSVILLE SOUTH (4-13)NY B Sec 679.3W14- 1 0.000  
5/25LANCASTER (7-9)NY A Sec 684.8W14- 3 0.075  
5/30at Niagara Wheatfield (16-3)NY A Sec 696.32W14-13ot0.375  
6/01vs. Orchard Park # (16-5)NY A Sec 697.31L5-12 -0.125  
# Neutral site 87.5     0.57  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/17ASweet Home13-211   4       +++1.39       7.19
4/19HOrchard Park3-8-5   -4       -1.39       -1.33
4/23ANorth Tonawanda17-116   20       ––1.39       -4.34
4/25ANiagara Wheatfield4-11-7   -5       1.39       -1.96
4/27AJamestown17-215   17       –1.39       -2.44
5/01AClarence12-84   4       1.39       0.24
5/03HLancaster13-76   7       -1.39       -1.49
5/05APittsford8-10-2   -1       1.26       -0.87
5/07HWest Seneca West13-58   9       -1.39       -1.38
5/09ALockport16-313   10       +1.39       2.60
5/11AWilliamsville East8-44   5       1.39       -0.97
5/12HWest Seneca East10-12-2   5       –––-1.39       -6.63
5/15HWilliamsville North11-74   4       -1.39       -0.01
5/17HHamburg9-81   2       -1.39       -0.95
5/18AAmherst13-103   0       +1.39       2.74
5/22HWilliamsville South14-113   12       -1.39       1.12
5/25HLancaster14-311   7       +-1.39       3.51
5/30ANiagara Wheatfield14-131   -5       +++1.39       6.04
6/01NOrchard Park5-12-7   -5       0.00       -1.94
         0.00-0.87

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/17ASweet Home13-2-1.00
4/23ANorth Tonawanda17-14.34
4/27AJamestown17-22.44
5/09ALockport16-3-2.60
5/22HWilliamsville South14-1-1.12
5/25HLancaster14-3-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 93.   Natl CCR Rank 348
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 93.48   Natl Power Rank 348
Natl SOS Rating 84.67   Natl SOS Rank 423
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.57   Natl Quality Win Rank 482
W-L Pct Rating 0.74   W-L Pct Rank 460
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 9-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.7

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